MatchWiz

Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernández — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: rbis at 60.3/100.

Today's top board
60.3
RBIs · vs PIT
Our calls on him · hits
48%
1+ hit in 10/21 top-20 calls
Games graded
89
this season, box-score final
Teoscar Hernández
LFBats RThrows RLos Angeles Dodgers
RBIs60.3/100proj 0.5#32H+R+RBI41.2/100proj 1.6#54Runs37.2/100proj 0.5#65Singles34.2/100proj 0.6#62Hits33.9/100proj 0.9#64Triples29.2/100proj 0#11Home Runs24.8/100proj 0.2#38Fantasy Points23.8/100proj 5.9#74Walks23/100proj 0.3#86Doubles22.7/100proj 0.2#73Stolen Bases19/100proj 0.1#45Total Bases18.4/100proj 1.3#88

Today's matchup

Teoscar draws Pittsburgh Pirates at home today. He shows up on 12 boards — rbis (60.3/100, #32), h+r+rbi (41.2/100, #54), runs (37.2/100, #65), singles (34.2/100, #62). We've got him at 0.5 on the rbis board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Teoscar is 8-for-36 (.222) over his last 10 games, in line with his .240 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Teoscar has 11 home runs and 24 extra-base hits in 312 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Teoscar hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Teoscar has recorded at least one hit in 54 of 88 games he's batted in — 61% — with 18 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Teoscar is hitting .236 at home (37-for-157) and .245 on the road (38-for-155) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Teoscar's biggest night was Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at COL — 2-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Teoscar have graded

In the 21 games where we ranked Teoscar a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 10 times — 48%. Middle of the road, which is what most players look like. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Teoscar was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 60.3/100 while total bases came in at 18.4/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Teoscar gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22vs PIT41001
Friday, August 21vs PIT40000
Wednesday, August 19@ COL41010
Tuesday, August 18@ COL42021
Monday, August 17@ COL40000
Sunday, August 16vs MIL31000
Saturday, August 15vs MIL41000
Friday, August 14vs MIL31000
Thursday, August 13vs MIL31000
Wednesday, August 12vs KC30000
Tuesday, August 11vs KC11001
Monday, August 10vs KC20000

Teoscar Hernández — FAQ

Who is Teoscar Hernández facing today?

Teoscar Hernández is hosting Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 60.3/100 on our rbis board, ranked #32.

What is Teoscar Hernández's projection today?

We project Teoscar for 0.5 on the rbis board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Teoscar Hernández graded?

In the 21 games where our model ranked Teoscar a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 10 times — 48%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Teoscar Hernández been hitting lately?

Teoscar is 8-for-36 (.222) over his last 10 games, against .240 on the season across 312 at-bats in our log, with 11 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Teoscar Hernández appear on?

Teoscar was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, h+r+rbi, runs, singles, hits. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Teoscar Hernández's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).