Last scored matchup
Tommy isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, away at Atlanta Braves on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, where he landed on home runs (36.9/100), rbis (28.9/100), hits (26.7/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
Recent form
Tommy is 7-for-31 (.226) over his last 10 games, in line with his .244 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
What kind of hitter he is
Tommy has 8 home runs and 22 extra-base hits in 295 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He bats from both sides
Tommy is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Tommy takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Tommy has recorded at least one hit in 44 of 84 games he's batted in — 52% — with 21 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Tommy is hitting .235 at home (35-for-149) and .253 on the road (37-for-146) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
Against Atlanta Braves
Tommy is 0-for-6 (.000) against Atlanta Braves in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 6 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
How our calls on Tommy have graded
In the 32 games where we ranked Tommy a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 16 times — 50%. Middle of the road, which is what most players look like. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.
Where he lands across our boards
Tommy was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: home runs graded 36.9/100 while walks came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Tommy and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.