MatchWiz

Will Smith

Will Smith — hitting .244 in our graded log with 6 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
31.7
Home Runs · vs LAA · 2026-06-05
Our calls on him · hits
57%
1+ hit in 4/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
51
this season, box-score final
Will Smith
CBats RThrows RLos Angeles Dodgers
Home Runs31.7/100proj 0.1#153Doubles29.9/100proj 0.2#166Fantasy Points29.9/100proj 6.8#166H+R+RBI29.9/100proj 1.9#166RBIs29.9/100proj 0.4#166Runs29.9/100proj 0.5#166Singles29.9/100proj 0.6#166Stolen Bases29.9/100proj 0.1#166Total Bases29.9/100proj 1.5#166Triples29.9/100proj 0#166Walks29.9/100proj 0.4#166Hits18/100proj 0.9#248

Not on the current slate

Will hasn't been scored in 79 days — his last matchup was against Los Angeles Angels on Friday, June 5, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

Will is 8-for-31 (.258) over his last 10 games, in line with his .244 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Will puts the ball in play — 34 strikeouts in 172 at-bats, about 20% of the time. Contact hitters carry their value on the hits board rather than the power boards, and they're less matchup-dependent than sluggers: a strikeout arm hurts him less than it hurts a hitter who sells out for damage.

He's a right-handed bat

Will hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Will has recorded at least one hit in 30 of 49 games he's batted in — 61% — with 9 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Will is hitting .258 at home (23-for-89) and .229 on the road (19-for-83) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Will's biggest night was Tuesday, May 26, 2026 against COL — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Will have graded

In the 7 games where we ranked Will a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 4 times — 57%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Will was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: home runs graded 31.7/100 while hits came in at 18/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Will and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, June 5vs LAA20000
Thursday, June 4@ AZ31000
Wednesday, June 3@ AZ41010
Monday, June 1@ AZ40000
Saturday, May 30vs PHI31010
Friday, May 29vs PHI31111
Wednesday, May 27vs COL11000
Tuesday, May 26vs COL42122
Monday, May 25vs COL30010
Saturday, May 23@ MIL41011
Wednesday, May 20@ SD41000
Tuesday, May 19@ SD40000

Will Smith — FAQ

Is Will Smith playing today?

Will Smith isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Friday, June 5, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Will Smith graded?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Will a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times — 57%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Will Smith been hitting lately?

Will is 8-for-31 (.258) over his last 10 games, against .244 on the season across 172 at-bats in our log, with 6 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Will Smith appear on?

Will was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — home runs, doubles, fantasy points, h+r+rbi, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Will Smith's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).