Who has the best runs matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?

Bryce Harper (PHI) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Freddy Peralta. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB runs matchups today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?

The top runs matchups on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Bryce Harper (100), Brandon Lowe (100), Trevor Larnach (100), Bryan Reynolds (99), Kody Clemens (98). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by runs upside.

Did the top runs matchup get a run on Saturday, June 20, 2026?

Yes — Bryce Harper got 2 runs.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .165 against righties this year. Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .164 against righties this year. Bryan Reynolds (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .154 against righties this year. Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .138 against righties this year.

How is the runs matchup score calculated?

It reads how often he scores against that hand, weighted to recent form, then asks how good the bats behind him are at bringing him home. Spot in the order matters more here than almost anywhere. Then the bullpen, park and weather. 0–100 across the slate.

It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end with him scoring a run. Around .117 is league average. Runs depend on getting on base and the bats behind you, so lineup spot and team context matter as much as the individual.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Runs scored is a team stat wearing one player's name — the top of the order in a good spot will out-grade a better hitter batting seventh, because he gets more trips and more help.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a run.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Same idea as the other contact boards, with one wrinkle: scoring a run starts with reaching base. The score leans on his rate against today's hand, then asks whether the bats behind him can bring him around.

What are park factors?

A park that gives up hits gives up runs. Gaps, altitude, and weather all raise the odds a leadoff single turns into a crossed plate. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for runs props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ run" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Runs scored leans on teammates, so the top of this board out-hits the slate by a smaller margin than the pure-contact boards do — the posted season rate shows exactly how much.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB runs matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026

Every hitter on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to score a run. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Saturday, June 20, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on 1+ run, against 50% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 50%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 54%

Full slate

93/25237%

season 38%

Top call Bryce Harper came through. Brandon Lowe didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 1–4

CWSaway

DEThomeTop matchup87 Final · 10–2

CINaway

NYYhomeTop matchup86 Final · 8–6

TORaway

CHChomeTop matchup87 Final · 6–4

SDaway

TEXhomeTop matchup76 Final · 4–3

WSHaway

TBhomeTop matchup84 Final · 3–6

SFaway

MIAhomeTop matchup71 Final · 3–4

MILaway

ATLhomeTop matchup68 Final · 8–1

CLEaway

HOUhomeTop matchup65 Final · 3–15

NYMaway

PHIhomeTop matchup100 Final · 1–2

PITaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 7–0

LAAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup91 Final · 5–1

BOSaway

SEAhomeTop matchup64 Final · 16–8

MINaway

AZhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–2

BALaway

LADhomeTop matchup69

Not starting66 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 318 shownScore

96 with a RLive count — updates as games play

1
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHIvsNYM· 4-for-5
4RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #40
2
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsNYM· 2-for-5
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #83
T2
Brooks Lee3B
MIN@AZ· 4-for-6
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #84
T2
Blake DunnCF
CIN@NYY· 2-for-5
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #98
T2
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@TEX· 2-for-5
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #106
T2
Jorge BarrosaCF
AZvsMIN· 2-for-3
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #140
T2
Victor CaratiniC
MIN@AZ· 3-for-5
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #153
T2
Travis Bazzana2B
CLE@HOU· 4-for-4
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #157
T2
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@AZ· 3-for-6
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #179
T2
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsMIL· 3-for-4
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #190
11
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsNYM· 4-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.7 R, #1
T11
Trevor LarnachLF
MIN@AZ· 2-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.7 R, #3
T11
Samad TaylorLF
SD@TEX· 1-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #20
T11
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TOR@CHC· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #22
T11
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsPIT· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #23
T11
Josh BellDH
MIN@AZ· 2-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #28
T11
Otto LopezSS
MIAvsSF· 1-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #33
T11
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TOR@CHC· 1-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #36
T11
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@MIA· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #88
T11
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@SEA· 1-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #104
T11
Adrian Del CastilloDH
AZvsMIN· 1-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #123
T11
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@TB· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #137
T11
Ryan KreidlerSS
MIN@AZ· 3-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #178
T11
Leody TaverasCF
BAL@LAD· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #182
T11
Edwin Arroyo2B
CIN@NYY· 4-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #184
T11
J.T. RealmutoC
PHIvsNYM· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #192
T11
Mark Vientos1B
NYM@PHI· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #219
T11
Patrick BaileyC
CLE@HOU· 3-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #240
29
Byron BuxtonCF
MIN@AZ· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #7
T29
Spencer Horwitz1B
PIT@COL· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.7 R, #8
T29
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@DET· 2-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #10
T29
George SpringerDH
TOR@CHC· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #11
T29
Myles StrawCF
TOR@CHC· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #12
T29
JJ BledayLF
CIN@NYY· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #13
T29
Zach NetoSS
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #15
T29
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsNYM· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #17
T29
Carson BengeRF
NYM@PHI· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #18
T29
Jo AdellRF
LAA@ATH· 3-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #21
T29
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsMIN· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #34
T29
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsBAL· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #35
T29
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #41
T29
Cody BellingerLF
NYYvsCIN· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #47
T29
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@ATL· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #48
T29
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEAvsBOS· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #49
T29
Anthony Seigler2B
BOS@SEA· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #54
T29
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsSF· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #58
T29
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsTOR· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #60
T29
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@TB· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #61
T29
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsCWS· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #63
T29
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsWSH· 3-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #70
T29
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #78
T29
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYYvsCIN· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #79
T29
Ian HappLF
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #80
T29
Wade MecklerLF
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #85
T29
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsWSH· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #93
T29
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #95
T29
Jose SiriCF
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #96
T29
Matt ShawRF
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #99
T29
Daulton VarshoCF
TOR@CHC· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #101
T29
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@NYY· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #103
T29
Spencer Torkelson1B
DETvsCWS· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #113
T29
Jarren DuranLF
BOS@SEA· 0-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #116
T29
Spencer Steer1B
CIN@NYY· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #119
T29
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsTOR· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #122
T29
Manny Machado3B
SD@TEX· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #127
T29
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CIN@NYY· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #133
T29
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsBAL· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #141
T29
Donovan Walton2B
LAA@ATH· 3-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #142
T29
Miguel AmayaC
CHCvsTOR· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #144
T29
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsSF· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #148
T29
Denzer Guzman3B
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #151
T29
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLE@HOU· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #154
T29
Willson Contreras1B
BOS@SEA· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #161
T29
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsWSH· 1-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #164
T29
Colton CowserCF
BAL@LAD· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #170
T29
Joe MackC
MIAvsSF· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #171
T29
Josh Jung3B
TEXvsSD· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #173
T29
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsNYM· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #175
T29
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsNYM· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #177
T29
Zach McKinstry2B
DETvsCWS· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #185
T29
Tyler HeinemanC
LAA@ATH· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #188
T29
Brice Turang2B
MIL@ATL· 0-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #194
T29
Tommy TroyLF
AZvsMIN· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #201
T29
Esteury RuizRF
MIAvsSF· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #209
T29
Steven KwanLF
CLE@HOU· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #211
T29
Casey SchmittLF
SF@MIA· 3-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #215
T29
Keibert RuizC
WSH@TB· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #226
T29
Jose TrevinoC
CIN@NYY· 0-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #229
T29
Petey HalpinCF
CLE@HOU· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #235
T29
Jake Burger1B
TEXvsSD· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #236
T29
Cooper PrattSS
MIL@ATL· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #239
T29
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsNYM· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #241
T29
Jarred KelenicRF
TEXvsSD· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #242
T29
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
TOR@CHC
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R
T29
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZvsMIN· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R
T29
Elias DíazC
TEXvsSD
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R

Best MLB Runs Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026

Bryce Harper (PHI) is the top runs matchup on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 board at 100, with Brandon Lowe (PIT) and Trevor Larnach (MIN) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to score a run — on-base ability, the arm and bullpen they face, lineup spot, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top runs spot: Bryce Harper

Bryce Harper (PHI) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Freddy Peralta. The lefty is scoring at .189 R/PA against righties this year — and .281 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a run in about 17% of his trips. And Freddy Peralta has been getting lit up by righties lately — .188 runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .188 in 16 career PA against Freddy Peralta, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Brandon Lowe (PIT) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a strong bat at .138 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.207), hitter's park.
Trevor Larnach (MIN) (100) vs RHP Zac Gallen: a strong bat at .147 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.154).
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) (99) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a strong bat at .142 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.207), hitter's park, hot bat.
Kody Clemens (MIN) (98) vs RHP Zac Gallen: an excellent bat at .159 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.154).
Corbin Carroll (AZ) (93) vs RHP Taj Bradley: an excellent bat at .150 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.286).
Byron Buxton (MIN) (93) vs RHP Zac Gallen: an excellent bat at .168 into an arm letting runs score against the same side (.120).
Spencer Horwitz (PIT) (92) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .121 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.207), hitter's park.

Platoon edges to target

Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year.
Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .165 against righties this year.
Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .164 against righties this year.
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .154 against righties this year.
Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .138 against righties this year.

Best parks to score in today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Brandon Lowe (PIT) at 100.

How it played out

5 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play Bryce Harper finished with 2 runs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these runs matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the runs board is

The Runs board projects the chance a hitter scores a run. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His on-base ability at the top of the order.
The bats due up behind him.
The opposing run-prevention.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Like RBIs, runs is a lumpy market that grades efficient once you model the clustering honestly. Transparency board — our number set beside the line, graded.

How to use it

Useful context for top-of-the-order run creation, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best runs matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?: Bryce Harper (PHI) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Freddy Peralta. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB runs matchups today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?: The top runs matchups on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Bryce Harper (100), Brandon Lowe (100), Trevor Larnach (100), Bryan Reynolds (99), Kody Clemens (98). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by runs upside.
Did the top runs matchup get a run on Saturday, June 20, 2026?: Yes — Bryce Harper got 2 runs.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .165 against righties this year. Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .164 against righties this year. Bryan Reynolds (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .154 against righties this year. Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .138 against righties this year.
Which parks favor runs today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Brandon Lowe (PIT) at 100.
How is the runs matchup score calculated?: It reads how often he scores against that hand, weighted to recent form, then asks how good the bats behind him are at bringing him home. Spot in the order matters more here than almost anywhere. Then the bullpen, park and weather. 0–100 across the slate.
What does R/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end with him scoring a run. Around .117 is league average. Runs depend on getting on base and the bats behind you, so lineup spot and team context matter as much as the individual.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Runs scored is a team stat wearing one player's name — the top of the order in a good spot will out-grade a better hitter batting seventh, because he gets more trips and more help.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a run.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Same idea as the other contact boards, with one wrinkle: scoring a run starts with reaching base. The score leans on his rate against today's hand, then asks whether the bats behind him can bring him around.
What are park factors?: A park that gives up hits gives up runs. Gaps, altitude, and weather all raise the odds a leadoff single turns into a crossed plate. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for runs props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ run" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Runs scored leans on teammates, so the top of this board out-hits the slate by a smaller margin than the pure-contact boards do — the posted season rate shows exactly how much.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.