Best MLB Walks Matchups — Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Top walks spot: Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Trey Yesavage. The lefty is working counts at .186 BB/PA against righties this year — and .205 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a walk in about 15% of his trips. And Trey Yesavage has been handing out free passes to righties lately — .179 walks per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Trey Yesavage. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (100) vs RHP Tyler Mahle: an elite bat at .171 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (96) vs RHP Joe Ryan: an elite bat at .161 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.000).
- Iván Herrera (STL) (93) vs LHP Mitch Bratt: an elite bat at .154 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Taylor Ward (BAL) (77) vs RHP José Soriano: a strong bat at .117 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.188).
- James Wood (WSH) (76) vs RHP Aaron Nola: an excellent bat at .138 into an arm prone to walking the same side (.100).
- Michael Busch (CHC) (75) vs RHP Nolan McLean: an excellent bat at .137 into an arm prone to walking the same side (.105).
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (70) vs RHP Erick Fedde: a strong bat at .110 into an arm prone to walking the same side (.097).
Platoon edges to target
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .186 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .234 against righties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .192 against righties this year.
- Iván Herrera (STL) — righty bat vs LHP, .206 against lefties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .183 against righties this year.
Where walks come easiest today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% walk park). Top bat there: Willi Castro (COL) at 45.
How it played out
4 of the top 10 walks matchups landed at least one walk. Top play Yordan Alvarez finished with 2 walks. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these walks matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.