Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Grizzlies132
Hawks123FinalState Farm ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grizzlies | 32 | 49 | 29 | 22 | 132 |
 Hawks | 35 | 26 | 37 | 25 | 123 |
Box score
FinalMemphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor HendricksF | 19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Cameron BoozerF | 18 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Cedric CowardF | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jaylen WellsF | 17 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GG JacksonF | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Scotty Pippen Jr.Guard | 16 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Ty JeromeG | 15 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Carson CooperC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jerami GrantF | 14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Cam SpencerG | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Javon SmallG | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Walter Clayton Jr.G | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kris MurrayF | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Quinten PostC | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivier-Maxence ProsperF | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jahmai MashackG | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Karim LopezF | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Isaiah StewartC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 132 | 41 | 32 | 43-83 | 18-43 | 28-37 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 19 | 26 |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston FlemingsG | 25 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Asa NewellF | 22 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Corey KispertF | 20 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| RayJ DennisG | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Jalen JohnsonF | 18 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 18 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jock LandaleC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen WilsonForward | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Keshon GilbertGuard | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Dorian Finney-SmithF | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kobe JohnsonG | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameron CorhenF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 123 | 45 | 25 | 43-94 | 14-43 | 23-33 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 18 | 23 |
Team stats
Final| Grizzlies | Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-83 | FG | 43-94 |
| 51.8% | FG% | 45.7% |
| 18-43 | 3PT | 14-43 |
| 41.9% | 3PT% | 32.6% |
| 28-37 | FT | 23-33 |
| 41 | Rebounds | 45 |
| 9 | Off reb | 14 |
| 32 | Assists | 25 |
| 13 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 26 | Fouls | 23 |
110.9 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, October 5ProjectedGrizzlies 114.8 · Hawks 119.7
Our lineHawks −4.9
Total234.6
Win probHawks 69% · Grizzlies 31%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.