New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Pelicans116
Thunder110FinalBOK CenterNeutral floorScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pelicans | 28 | 24 | 38 | 26 | 116 |
 Thunder | 34 | 33 | 26 | 17 | 110 |
Box score
FinalNew Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert JonesF | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Saddiq BeyF | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Trey Murphy IIIF | 19 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dejounte MurrayG | 19 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Yves MissiCenter | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Bennedict MathurinG | 17 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeremiah FearsG | 17 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Derik QueenC | 17 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Zion WilliamsonF | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jordan PooleG | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Bryce McGowensG | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Trendon WatfordF | 12 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr.Guard | 12 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Karlo MatkovicF | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Kobe BufkinG | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb HoustanF | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 116 | 51 | 24 | 35-87 | 12-33 | 34-47 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 17 |
Did not play Christian Koloko coach's decision · DeAndre Jordan coach's decision · Julian Reese coach's decision · Malik Dia coach's decision
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett StirtzG | 31 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Josh DixG | 30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Otega OwehG | 28 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Brooks BarnhizerF | 26 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Christoph TillyC | 25 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Aday MaraC | 18 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Ajay MitchellG | 18 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Kenrich WilliamsG | 18 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jared McCainG | 16 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Zhaire SmithG | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Anthony PritchardG | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Andrew HolifieldF | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 110 | 46 | 29 | 40-76 | 16-33 | 14-21 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 30 |
Did not play Robert McCray V coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Pelicans | Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-87 | FG | 40-76 |
| 40.2% | FG% | 52.6% |
| 12-33 | 3PT | 16-33 |
| 36.4% | 3PT% | 48.5% |
| 34-47 | FT | 14-21 |
| 51 | Rebounds | 46 |
| 18 | Off reb | 6 |
| 24 | Assists | 29 |
| 14 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 8 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 17 | Fouls | 30 |
102.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Tuesday, October 6ProjectedPelicans 115.8 · Thunder 120.3
Our lineThunder −4.5
Total236.1
Win probThunder 68% · Pelicans 32%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.