Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Rockets135
Mavericks117FinalVenetian ArenaNeutral floorScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rockets | 27 | 38 | 34 | 36 | 135 |
 Mavericks | 19 | 26 | 35 | 37 | 117 |
Box score
FinalHouston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tari EasonF | 24 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Fred VanVleetG | 24 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Amen ThompsonG | 24 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Kevin DurantF | 23 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Alperen SengunC | 22 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Reed SheppardG | 19 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 16 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Steven AdamsC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Oscar TshiebweC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Isaiah CrawfordF | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Bruce ThorntonG | 9 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Quadir CopelandGuard | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Julian PhillipsForward | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean PedullaGuard | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 135 | 43 | 36 | 47-86 | 18-36 | 23-32 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 22 |
Did not play Clint Capela coach's decision · Jae'Sean Tate coach's decision · Marcus Smart coach's decision
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji MarshallF | 24 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Max ChristieG | 24 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sergio de LarreaForward | 24 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 24 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Cooper FlaggF | 19 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Tarik BiberovicForward | 19 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jett HowardG | 16 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Tobi LawalF | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| John PoulakidasG | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Seth LundyG | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Moussa CisseC | 14 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Dwight PowellF | 13 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Morez Johnson Jr.F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Daniel GaffordF | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 117 | 38 | 34 | 44-94 | 18-51 | 11-17 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 19 | 25 |
Did not play Caleb Martin coach's decision · Dereck Lively II coach's decision · Kyrie Irving coach's decision · Marcus Sasser coach's decision · P.J. Washington coach's decision · Santi Aldama coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Rockets | Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| 47-86 | FG | 44-94 |
| 54.7% | FG% | 46.8% |
| 18-36 | 3PT | 18-51 |
| 50.0% | 3PT% | 35.3% |
| 23-32 | FT | 11-17 |
| 43 | Rebounds | 38 |
| 16 | Off reb | 14 |
| 36 | Assists | 34 |
| 11 | Steals | 12 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 22 | Fouls | 25 |
105.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Friday, October 9ProjectedRockets 114.5 · Mavericks 116.7
Our lineMavericks −2.2
Total231.2
Win probMavericks 59% · Rockets 41%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.