Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Timberwolves125
Heat124FinalKaseya CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves | 24 | 36 | 31 | 34 | 125 |
 Heat | 23 | 33 | 28 | 40 | 124 |
Box score
FinalMinnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zyon PullinG | 28 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Joan BeringerF | 24 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.G | 22 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Isaiah EvansF | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Trey LylesF | 22 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Bones HylandG | 21 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cody WilliamsF | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Jaylen ClarkG | 19 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| KJ MartinF | 17 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Rocco ZikarskyC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Antonio ReevesG | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Norchad OmierF | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Drew TimmeForward | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Enrique FreemanForward | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 125 | 46 | 26 | 41-87 | 14-34 | 29-33 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 25 |
Did not play Anthony Edwards coach's decision · Ayo Dosunmu coach's decision · Donte DiVincenzo coach's decision · Jaden McDaniels coach's decision · Jonathan Kuminga coach's decision · LaMelo Ball coach's decision · Rudy Gobert coach's decision
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan ConwellG | 32 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Myron GardnerF | 27 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Nikola JovicF | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 25 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Nick RichardsC | 25 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 24 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Vladislav GoldinCenter | 23 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Ian SchieffelinF | 23 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Bez MbengG | 21 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Tre DonaldsonGuard | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Team | — | 124 | 45 | 27 | 43-94 | 16-34 | 22-27 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 22 |
Did not play Andrew Wiggins coach's decision · Bam Adebayo coach's decision · Bobby Portis coach's decision · Davion Mitchell coach's decision · Dru Smith coach's decision · Gabe Madsen coach's decision · Giannis Antetokounmpo coach's decision · J'Vonne Hadley coach's decision · Keshad Johnson coach's decision · Klay Thompson coach's decision · Kylor Kelley coach's decision · Lester Quinones coach's decision · Tim Hardaway Jr. coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Timberwolves | Heat | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-87 | FG | 43-94 |
| 47.1% | FG% | 45.7% |
| 14-34 | 3PT | 16-34 |
| 41.2% | 3PT% | 47.1% |
| 29-33 | FT | 22-27 |
| 46 | Rebounds | 45 |
| 11 | Off reb | 12 |
| 26 | Assists | 27 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 25 | Fouls | 22 |
105.7 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Timberwolves on 2 days, Heat on 1 day.
What the model says
Saturday, October 10These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.