Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Thunder110
Hawks113FinalState Farm ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Thunder | 28 | 21 | 30 | 31 | 110 |
 Hawks | 29 | 27 | 23 | 34 | 113 |
Box score
FinalOklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks BarnhizerF | 40 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 8-23 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Bennett StirtzG | 38 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Josh DixG | 37 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Otega OwehG | 35 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Aday MaraC | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Anthony PritchardG | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Andrew HolifieldF | 17 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Zhaire SmithG | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christoph TillyC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 110 | 51 | 26 | 39-90 | 13-31 | 19-24 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
Did not play Robert McCray V coach's decision
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen WilsonForward | 30 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 28 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Asa NewellF | 27 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Corey KispertF | 26 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 25 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| RayJ DennisG | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 23 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Jock LandaleC | 21 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Dorian Finney-SmithF | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kobe JohnsonG | 10 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaac McKneelyG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron CorhenF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 113 | 50 | 31 | 42-102 | 18-51 | 11-13 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
Team stats
Final| Thunder | Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-90 | FG | 42-102 |
| 43.3% | FG% | 41.2% |
| 13-31 | 3PT | 18-51 |
| 41.9% | 3PT% | 35.3% |
| 19-24 | FT | 11-13 |
| 51 | Rebounds | 50 |
| 13 | Off reb | 18 |
| 26 | Assists | 31 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 13 | Blocks | 7 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
103.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Thunder on 4 days, Hawks on 1 day.
What the model says
Monday, October 12ProjectedThunder 118.2 · Hawks 119.9
Our lineHawks −1.7
Total238.1
Win probHawks 57% · Thunder 43%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.