Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Nets128
Heat144FinalKaseya CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nets | 29 | 37 | 37 | 25 | 128 |
 Heat | 35 | 34 | 43 | 32 | 144 |
Box score
FinalBrooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius RandleF | 28 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Michael Porter Jr.F | 27 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Keon EllisG | 24 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Egor DeminGuard | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Moritz WagnerC | 22 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Nolan TraoreG | 22 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Noah ClowneyF | 22 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Mikel Brown Jr.G | 18 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Day'Ron SharpeC | 17 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Danny WolfF | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chaney JohnsonF | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Grant NelsonForward | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh MinottF | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Drake PowellG | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 128 | 37 | 28 | 42-96 | 17-48 | 27-32 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 26 |
Did not play Ben Humrichous coach's decision · Ben Saraf coach's decision · Dain Dainja coach's decision · Joshua Jefferson coach's decision · Terance Mann coach's decision · Tyler Bilodeau coach's decision
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis AntetokounmpoF | 24 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 8-10 | 0-2 | 4-9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Davion MitchellG | 24 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Ryan ConwellG | 24 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bobby PortisF | 24 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Klay ThompsonG | 23 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Nikola JovicF | 23 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Andrew WigginsF | 22 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.G | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nick RichardsC | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Keshad JohnsonForward | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Myron GardnerF | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kylor KelleyC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Tre DonaldsonGuard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 144 | 50 | 32 | 55-94 | 15-42 | 19-29 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 24 |
Did not play Bam Adebayo right groin tightness · Bez Mbeng coach's decision · Dru Smith right calf strain · Gabe Madsen coach's decision · Ian Schieffelin coach's decision · J'Vonne Hadley coach's decision · Lester Quinones coach's decision · Pelle Larsson injury/illness · Vladislav Goldin coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Nets | Heat | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-96 | FG | 55-94 |
| 43.8% | FG% | 58.5% |
| 17-48 | 3PT | 15-42 |
| 35.4% | 3PT% | 35.7% |
| 27-32 | FT | 19-29 |
| 37 | Rebounds | 50 |
| 12 | Off reb | 14 |
| 28 | Assists | 32 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 26 | Fouls | 24 |
109.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Nets on 1 day, Heat on 3 days.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 14These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.