Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Lakers127
Kings103FinalGolden 1 CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lakers | 36 | 37 | 26 | 28 | 127 |
 Kings | 28 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 103 |
Box score
FinalLos Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron CarrG | 23 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ziaire WilliamsF | 21 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jake LaRaviaF | 21 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Quentin GrimesG | 19 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 19 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Matisse ThybulleG | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevon LooneyF | 18 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Adou ThieroForward | 17 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Luka DoncicG | 16 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 8-9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Bronny JamesG | 16 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jaden HardyG | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Chris ManonGuard | 12 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Dalton KnechtF | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jarred VanderbiltF | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| William Kyle IIIF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 127 | 39 | 29 | 41-82 | 20-44 | 25-33 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 31 |
Did not play AK Okereke coach's decision · Arthur Kaluma coach's decision · Austin Reaves coach's decision · Cole Swider coach's decision · Collin Sexton coach's decision · Walker Kessler coach's decision
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel SharpG | 30 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| Dylan CardwellC | 29 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Nique CliffordG | 28 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Darius Acuff Jr.G | 27 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Daeqwon PlowdenG | 25 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Maxime RaynaudCenter | 24 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Alex KarabanF | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Zach LaVineG | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| De'Andre HunterF | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Precious AchiuwaF | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Domantas SabonisF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Elfrid PaytonG | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Adam FlaglerG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben SimmonsGuard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keegan MurrayForward | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik MonkG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 103 | 46 | 20 | 37-82 | 4-23 | 25-34 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 27 | 32 |
Did not play Jonathan Mogbo coach's decision · Leaky Black coach's decision · Tristen Newton coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Lakers | Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-82 | FG | 37-82 |
| 50.0% | FG% | 45.1% |
| 20-44 | 3PT | 4-23 |
| 45.5% | 3PT% | 17.4% |
| 25-33 | FT | 25-34 |
| 39 | Rebounds | 46 |
| 9 | Off reb | 13 |
| 29 | Assists | 20 |
| 15 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 27 |
| 31 | Fouls | 32 |
109.7 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, October 5ProjectedLakers 114.5 · Kings 113.6
Our lineLakers −0.9
Total228.1
Win probKings 46% · Lakers 54%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.