New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Pelicans101
Mavericks97FinalAmerican Airlines CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pelicans | 24 | 32 | 19 | 26 | 101 |
 Mavericks | 18 | 27 | 18 | 34 | 97 |
Box score
FinalNew Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah FearsG | 20 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Bennedict MathurinG | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Derik QueenC | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Trey Murphy IIIF | 19 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Karlo MatkovicF | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Zion WilliamsonF | 18 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Yves MissiCenter | 17 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Jordan PooleG | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Saddiq BeyF | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Herbert JonesF | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr.Guard | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Trendon WatfordF | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| AJ JohnsonG | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryce McGowensG | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Julian ReeseF | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalon MooreF | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Kobe BufkinG | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Malik DiaForward | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 101 | 40 | 19 | 34-75 | 8-27 | 25-38 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 28 |
Did not play Caleb Houstan coach's decision · Christian Koloko coach's decision · DeAndre Jordan coach's decision · Dejounte Murray coach's decision
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio de LarreaForward | 30 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| John PoulakidasG | 26 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Tarik BiberovicForward | 26 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Tobi LawalF | 23 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Seth LundyG | 22 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Moussa CisseC | 16 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Caleb MartinF | 16 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| P.J. WashingtonF | 16 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Max ChristieG | 15 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Naji MarshallF | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Jorge Diaz-GrahamF | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Team | — | 97 | 47 | 21 | 30-84 | 10-49 | 27-32 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 32 |
Did not play Dwight Powell coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Pelicans | Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-75 | FG | 30-84 |
| 45.3% | FG% | 35.7% |
| 8-27 | 3PT | 10-49 |
| 29.6% | 3PT% | 20.4% |
| 25-38 | FT | 27-32 |
| 40 | Rebounds | 47 |
| 8 | Off reb | 19 |
| 19 | Assists | 21 |
| 14 | Steals | 8 |
| 7 | Blocks | 10 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 27 |
| 28 | Fouls | 32 |
105.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Pelicans on 5 days, Mavericks on 2 days.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 14ProjectedPelicans 115.8 · Mavericks 116.9
Our lineMavericks −1.1
Total232.8
Win probMavericks 55% · Pelicans 45%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.