LA Clippers vs Toronto Raptors
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Clippers106
Raptors114FinalRogers ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clippers | 18 | 27 | 27 | 34 | 106 |
 Raptors | 24 | 33 | 32 | 25 | 114 |
Box score
FinalLA Clippers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton WaglerG | 23 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Cam ChristieG | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rui HachimuraF | 19 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Darius GarlandG | 19 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Derrick Jones Jr.F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Baba MillerF | 16 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Nick MartinelliF | 16 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Blake WesleyG | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah JacksonF | 15 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Brook LopezC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Kris DunnG | 15 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Yuki KawamuraGuard | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Gradey DickG | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen PickettG | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jahmyl TelfortForward | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 106 | 32 | 23 | 33-77 | 9-28 | 31-39 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 26 |
Did not play Fletcher Loyer coach's decision · Jordan Miller coach's decision
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ BarrettF | 23 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Collin Murray-BoylesF | 22 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Scottie BarnesF | 22 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Jakob PoeltlC | 22 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaden BradleyG | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Immanuel QuickleyG | 19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamal SheadG | 19 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Ja'Kobe WalterG | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nimari BurnettG | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle AndersonF | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Malachi SmithGuard | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tyson DegenhartF | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Trey Jemison IIICenter | 8 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Tyreke KeyG | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chucky HepburnGuard | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 114 | 48 | 25 | 40-79 | 12-29 | 22-33 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 33 |
Did not play Andre Jackson Jr. coach's decision · Jamison Battle coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Clippers | Raptors | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-77 | FG | 40-79 |
| 42.9% | FG% | 50.6% |
| 9-28 | 3PT | 12-29 |
| 32.1% | 3PT% | 41.4% |
| 31-39 | FT | 22-33 |
| 32 | Rebounds | 48 |
| 8 | Off reb | 18 |
| 23 | Assists | 25 |
| 9 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 26 | Fouls | 33 |
98.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Clippers on 5 days, Raptors on 6 days.
What the model says
Saturday, October 10ProjectedClippers 113.4 · Raptors 116.6
Our lineRaptors −3.2
Total229.9
Win probRaptors 63% · Clippers 37%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.