Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Wizards106
Pelicans107FinalSmoothie King CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wizards | 17 | 34 | 19 | 36 | 106 |
 Pelicans | 23 | 33 | 25 | 26 | 107 |
Box score
FinalWashington Wizards
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae YoungG | 28 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Anthony DavisF | 27 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Kyshawn GeorgeF | 27 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Alex SarrC | 26 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Tre JohnsonG | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| AJ DybantsaF | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Khris MiddletonF | 14 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Deandre AytonC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Bilal CoulibalyG | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Will RileyG | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Chris LivingstonF | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Felix OkparaF | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Bub CarringtonG | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Reece BeekmanGuard | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Trevor KeelsG | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin ChampagnieForward | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alondes WilliamsG | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Team | — | 106 | 51 | 21 | 36-91 | 12-41 | 22-31 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 21 |
Did not play Anthony Gill coach's decision · Jamir Watkins coach's decision · Tre Mann coach's decision · Tristan Vukcevic coach's decision
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah FearsG | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Zion WilliamsonF | 22 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Herbert JonesF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Trey Murphy IIIF | 21 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan PooleG | 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Yves MissiCenter | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Saddiq BeyF | 17 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Bennedict MathurinG | 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Karlo MatkovicF | 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Derik QueenC | 17 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Bryce McGowensG | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Trendon WatfordF | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| AJ JohnsonG | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr.Guard | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Julian ReeseF | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeAndre JordanC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 107 | 48 | 28 | 43-99 | 7-36 | 14-16 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 27 |
Did not play Caleb Houstan coach's decision · Christian Koloko coach's decision · Dejounte Murray coach's decision · Jalon Moore coach's decision · Kobe Bufkin coach's decision · Malik Dia coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Wizards | Pelicans | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-91 | FG | 43-99 |
| 39.6% | FG% | 43.4% |
| 12-41 | 3PT | 7-36 |
| 29.3% | 3PT% | 19.4% |
| 22-31 | FT | 14-16 |
| 51 | Rebounds | 48 |
| 16 | Off reb | 14 |
| 21 | Assists | 28 |
| 10 | Steals | 15 |
| 10 | Blocks | 6 |
| 23 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 21 | Fouls | 27 |
110.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Wizards on 3 days, Pelicans on 1 day.
What the model says
Friday, October 16ProjectedWizards 115.2 · Pelicans 124.5
Our linePelicans −9.3
Total239.7
Win probPelicans 82% · Wizards 18%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.