Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Bucks128
Thunder126FinalPaycom CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bucks | 35 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 128 |
 Thunder | 44 | 38 | 20 | 24 | 126 |
Box score
FinalMilwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kel'el WareC | 25 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Tyler HerroG | 23 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Ousmane DiengF | 23 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Myles TurnerC | 22 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.F | 22 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Brayden BurriesG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ryan RollinsG | 21 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Kasparas JakucionisG | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Jericho SimsC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Pete NanceForward | 13 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Cormac RyanGuard | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Nate AmentF | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kam JonesGuard | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Bogoljub MarkovicF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 128 | 59 | 31 | 44-95 | 14-44 | 26-35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 26 |
Did not play Jake Stephens coach's decision · John Butler Jr. coach's decision · Johni Broome coach's decision
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aday MaraC | 25 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Bennett StirtzG | 22 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen WilliamsGuard | 19 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 8-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Brooks BarnhizerF | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG | 18 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Cason WallaceGuard | 18 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Alex CarusoG | 17 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared McCainG | 17 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ajay MitchellG | 17 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Otega OwehG | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Josh DixG | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Kenrich WilliamsG | 14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Anthony PritchardG | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Christoph TillyC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Andrew HolifieldF | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 126 | 39 | 34 | 46-93 | 17-46 | 17-26 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 |
Did not play Robert McCray V coach's decision · Zhaire Smith coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Bucks | Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-95 | FG | 46-93 |
| 46.3% | FG% | 49.5% |
| 14-44 | 3PT | 17-46 |
| 31.8% | 3PT% | 37.0% |
| 26-35 | FT | 17-26 |
| 59 | Rebounds | 39 |
| 20 | Off reb | 8 |
| 31 | Assists | 34 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 7 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 26 | Fouls | 24 |
109.9 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Bucks on 1 day, Thunder on no rest.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 7ProjectedBucks 110.8 · Thunder 120.5
Our lineThunder −9.7
Total231.3
Win probThunder 83% · Bucks 17%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.