Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Raptors125
Pistons129FinalLittle Caesars ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Raptors | 33 | 19 | 28 | 45 | 125 |
 Pistons | 33 | 26 | 34 | 36 | 129 |
Box score
FinalToronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi SmithGuard | 33 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 8-18 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Tyson DegenhartF | 30 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Tyreke KeyG | 30 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaden BradleyG | 30 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| Trayce Jackson-DavisF | 29 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 15-16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Nimari BurnettG | 24 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Allen GravesF | 23 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Alijah MartinG | 22 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jamarion SharpC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen CelestineNA | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 125 | 40 | 20 | 36-84 | 14-37 | 39-46 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 28 |
Did not play Collin Murray-Boyles coach's decision · Immanuel Quickley coach's decision · Ja'Kobe Walter coach's decision · Jakob Poeltl coach's decision · Jamal Shead coach's decision · Jamison Battle coach's decision · Kawhi Leonard coach's decision · Kyle Anderson coach's decision · Nate Bittle coach's decision · RJ Barrett coach's decision · Scottie Barnes coach's decision
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade CunninghamG | 26 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| John CollinsF | 22 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jalen DurenCenter | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 20 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Ausar ThompsonG | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Ronald Holland IIF | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Daniss JenkinsG | 17 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul ReedF | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Chaz LanierG | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaiah JoeGuard | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ebuka OkorieG | 9 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javonte GreenG | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Taurean PrinceF | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Tolu SmithF | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Elijah HarklessGuard | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaac JonesC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kevin HuerterG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| John UkomaduF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 129 | 36 | 29 | 47-81 | 14-34 | 21-32 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 35 |
Did not play Brice Williams coach's decision · Ugonna Onyenso coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Raptors | Pistons | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-84 | FG | 47-81 |
| 42.9% | FG% | 58.0% |
| 14-37 | 3PT | 14-34 |
| 37.8% | 3PT% | 41.2% |
| 39-46 | FT | 21-32 |
| 40 | Rebounds | 36 |
| 16 | Off reb | 9 |
| 20 | Assists | 29 |
| 10 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 28 | Fouls | 35 |
106.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Raptors on no rest, Pistons on 1 day.
What the model says
Friday, October 16These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.