Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Suns107
Pistons109FinalLittle Caesars ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Suns | 35 | 33 | 16 | 23 | 107 |
 Pistons | 21 | 29 | 34 | 25 | 109 |
Box score
FinalPhoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheer FlemingF | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Jamaree BouyeaG | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Collin GillespieG | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Khaman MaluachC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Devin BookerG | 16 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Dillon BrooksF | 16 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Haywood HighsmithF | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Ryan DunnF | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Jalen GreenG | 15 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke KennardG | 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Miles BridgesF | 14 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oso IghodaroF | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Koa PeatF | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Jordan GoodwinG | 11 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kennedy ChandlerG | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Duop ReathC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Pat SpencerG | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | — | 107 | 47 | 19 | 38-78 | 14-35 | 17-33 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 32 | 29 |
Did not play CJ Huntley coach's decision · Koby Brea coach's decision · Mark Williams coach's decision · Phillip Wheeler coach's decision
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Holland IIF | 24 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Paul ReedF | 21 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Ausar ThompsonG | 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah JoeGuard | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Daniss JenkinsG | 18 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kevin HuerterG | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| John CollinsF | 17 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Cade CunninghamG | 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tolu SmithF | 16 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Chaz LanierG | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Javonte GreenG | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Taurean PrinceF | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ebuka OkorieG | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Isaac JonesC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Brice WilliamsForward | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 109 | 35 | 17 | 35-79 | 13-36 | 26-41 | 13 | 21 | 8 | 20 | 28 |
Did not play Elijah Harkless coach's decision · Jalen Duren coach's decision · John Ukomadu coach's decision · Ugonna Onyenso coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Suns | Pistons | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-78 | FG | 35-79 |
| 48.7% | FG% | 44.3% |
| 14-35 | 3PT | 13-36 |
| 40.0% | 3PT% | 36.1% |
| 17-33 | FT | 26-41 |
| 47 | Rebounds | 35 |
| 14 | Off reb | 13 |
| 19 | Assists | 17 |
| 12 | Steals | 21 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 32 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 29 | Fouls | 28 |
107.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, October 5ProjectedSuns 112.4 · Pistons 118.3
Our linePistons −5.9
Total230.7
Win probPistons 73% · Suns 27%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.