Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Celtics113
Pistons121FinalLittle Caesars ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Celtics | 28 | 30 | 30 | 25 | 113 |
 Pistons | 27 | 18 | 37 | 39 | 121 |
Box score
FinalBoston Celtics
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson TatumF | 38 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 6-23 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Derrick WhiteG | 36 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Paul GeorgeF | 31 | 38 | 5 | 3 | 12-21 | 7-12 | 7-8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Payton PritchardG | 28 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Neemias QuetaC | 22 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Sam HauserF | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Baylor ScheiermanG | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell RobinsonC | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Jordan WalshG | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Hugo GonzalezG | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka GarzaC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Team | — | 113 | 39 | 28 | 40-88 | 17-42 | 16-21 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 26 |
Did not play Chris Cenac Jr. coach's decision · Mike Conley coach's decision · Ron Harper Jr. coach's decision
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade CunninghamG | 35 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Ausar ThompsonG | 33 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jalen DurenCenter | 28 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 28 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| John CollinsF | 25 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah JoeGuard | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Javonte GreenG | 18 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kevin HuerterG | 18 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Paul ReedF | 17 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Daniss JenkinsG | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Ronald Holland IIF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 121 | 49 | 27 | 39-86 | 15-40 | 28-32 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 22 |
Did not play Chaz Lanier coach's decision · Ebuka Okorie coach's decision · Taurean Prince coach's decision · Tolu Smith coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Celtics | Pistons | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-88 | FG | 39-86 |
| 45.5% | FG% | 45.3% |
| 17-42 | 3PT | 15-40 |
| 40.5% | 3PT% | 37.5% |
| 16-21 | FT | 28-32 |
| 39 | Rebounds | 49 |
| 12 | Off reb | 14 |
| 28 | Assists | 27 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 26 | Fouls | 22 |
101.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 3 days' rest.
What the model says
Tuesday, October 20ProjectedCeltics 110.1 · Pistons 111.1
Our linePistons −0.9
Total221.2
Win probPistons 54% · Celtics 46%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.