Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Magic121
Raptors114FinalScotiabank ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Magic | 31 | 33 | 31 | 26 | 121 |
 Raptors | 27 | 28 | 33 | 26 | 114 |
Box score
FinalOrlando Magic
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond BaneG | 39 | 28 | 2 | 6 | 8-18 | 6-12 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Franz WagnerF | 39 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Wendell Carter Jr.C | 39 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jase RichardsonG | 33 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony BlackG | 31 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Tristan da SilvaF | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jamal CainF | 15 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Alex MoralesG | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikola VucevicC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Goga BitadzeC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 121 | 32 | 30 | 39-74 | 18-34 | 25-29 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 |
Did not play Colin Castleton coach's decision · Jevon Carter coach's decision
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie BarnesF | 39 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 19-34 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| Immanuel QuickleyG | 37 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| RJ BarrettF | 34 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Ja'Kobe WalterG | 32 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Collin Murray-BoylesF | 23 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jakob PoeltlC | 23 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jamal SheadG | 23 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jamison BattleF | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Allen GravesF | 9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Trayce Jackson-DavisF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 114 | 38 | 31 | 46-91 | 11-27 | 11-15 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 33 |
Did not play Alijah Martin coach's decision · Jaden Bradley coach's decision · Kyle Anderson coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Magic | Raptors | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-74 | FG | 46-91 |
| 52.7% | FG% | 50.5% |
| 18-34 | 3PT | 11-27 |
| 52.9% | 3PT% | 40.7% |
| 25-29 | FT | 11-15 |
| 32 | Rebounds | 38 |
| 9 | Off reb | 15 |
| 30 | Assists | 31 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 33 |
92.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 30ProjectedMagic 112.4 · Raptors 117.4
Our lineRaptors −5.0
Total229.8
Win probRaptors 69% · Magic 31%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.