Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Nuggets127
Suns120FinalMortgage Matchup CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nuggets | 32 | 39 | 32 | 24 | 127 |
 Suns | 37 | 30 | 26 | 27 | 120 |
Box score
FinalDenver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal MurrayG | 37 | 39 | 8 | 5 | 10-18 | 7-9 | 12-15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Christian BraunG | 37 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 11-16 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Nikola JokicC | 37 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Cameron JohnsonF | 34 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron GordonF | 29 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| DeMar DeRozanG | 24 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Trevon BrazileF | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyus JonesG | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Marvin Bagley IIIF | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 127 | 40 | 30 | 42-80 | 20-37 | 23-30 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 19 | 13 |
Did not play Bryce Hopkins coach's decision · DaRon Holmes II coach's decision · Ryan Nembhard coach's decision · Zeke Nnaji coach's decision
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin BookerG | 39 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Miles BridgesF | 37 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Collin GillespieG | 33 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Jordan GoodwinG | 25 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jalen GreenG | 25 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Dillon BrooksF | 21 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 9-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Oso IghodaroF | 21 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Khaman MaluachC | 17 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Luke KennardG | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan DunnF | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 120 | 42 | 34 | 46-94 | 18-42 | 10-11 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 22 |
Did not play CJ Huntley coach's decision · Duop Reath coach's decision · Jamaree Bouyea coach's decision · Koa Peat coach's decision · Koby Brea coach's decision · Rasheer Fleming coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Nuggets | Suns | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-80 | FG | 46-94 |
| 52.5% | FG% | 48.9% |
| 20-37 | 3PT | 18-42 |
| 54.1% | 3PT% | 42.9% |
| 23-30 | FT | 10-11 |
| 40 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 12 | Off reb | 15 |
| 30 | Assists | 34 |
| 11 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
99.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Nuggets on 1 day, Suns on 3 days.
What the model says
Friday, October 30ProjectedNuggets 113.6 · Suns 112.5
Our lineNuggets −1.1
Total226.0
Win probSuns 46% · Nuggets 54%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.