Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Bucks116
Wizards128FinalCapital One ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bucks | 23 | 33 | 37 | 23 | 116 |
 Wizards | 25 | 26 | 39 | 38 | 128 |
Box score
FinalMilwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler HerroG | 32 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 9-21 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Myles TurnerC | 32 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.F | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Kyle KuzmaF | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Kasparas JakucionisG | 26 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Ryan RollinsG | 24 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ousmane DiengF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Brayden BurriesG | 16 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| AJ GreenG | 15 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kel'el WareC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Jericho SimsC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 116 | 41 | 28 | 41-91 | 15-41 | 19-23 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 32 |
Did not play Bogoljub Markovic coach's decision · Caris LeVert coach's decision · Gary Trent Jr. coach's decision · Kevin Porter Jr. coach's decision · Nate Ament coach's decision
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae YoungG | 38 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 12-16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Anthony DavisF | 34 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 11-14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Kyshawn GeorgeF | 29 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Bilal CoulibalyG | 29 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Alex SarrC | 24 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin ChampagnieForward | 21 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bub CarringtonG | 19 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Tre JohnsonG | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Deandre AytonC | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Khris MiddletonF | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 128 | 44 | 28 | 45-86 | 6-28 | 32-41 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 23 |
Did not play Anthony Gill coach's decision · Felix Okpara coach's decision · Reece Beekman coach's decision · Tre Mann coach's decision · Will Riley coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Bucks | Wizards | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-91 | FG | 45-86 |
| 45.1% | FG% | 52.3% |
| 15-41 | 3PT | 6-28 |
| 36.6% | 3PT% | 21.4% |
| 19-23 | FT | 32-41 |
| 41 | Rebounds | 44 |
| 13 | Off reb | 12 |
| 28 | Assists | 28 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 32 | Fouls | 23 |
104.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 4 days' rest.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 21ProjectedBucks 117.8 · Wizards 115.0
Our lineBucks −2.8
Total232.8
Win probWizards 39% · Bucks 61%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.