Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Bulls92
Raptors135FinalScotiabank ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bulls | 23 | 21 | 27 | 21 | 92 |
 Raptors | 43 | 26 | 34 | 32 | 135 |
Box score
FinalChicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilsonF | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 7-21 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 |
| Leonard MillerF | 26 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Matas BuzelisF | 25 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 13-16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Josh GiddeyG | 24 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Norman PowellG | 22 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 7-11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jalen SmithF | 19 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaac OkoroF | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jaylin SellersG | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Tobe AwakaF | 14 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Buddy HieldG | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Tre JonesG | 13 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noa EssengueF | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Zach CollinsF | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 92 | 57 | 16 | 27-85 | 4-36 | 34-47 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 34 |
Did not play Patrick Williams coach's decision
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel QuickleyG | 28 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Scottie BarnesF | 26 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| RJ BarrettF | 26 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kawhi LeonardForward | 24 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 11-11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Ja'Kobe WalterG | 23 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jakob PoeltlC | 22 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Collin Murray-BoylesF | 20 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Allen GravesF | 19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamal SheadG | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Jamison BattleF | 11 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Trayce Jackson-DavisF | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alijah MartinG | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jaden BradleyG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kyle AndersonF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 135 | 51 | 31 | 44-98 | 10-31 | 37-46 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 29 |
Team stats
Final| Bulls | Raptors | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-85 | FG | 44-98 |
| 31.8% | FG% | 44.9% |
| 4-36 | 3PT | 10-31 |
| 11.1% | 3PT% | 32.3% |
| 34-47 | FT | 37-46 |
| 57 | Rebounds | 51 |
| 21 | Off reb | 16 |
| 16 | Assists | 31 |
| 6 | Steals | 15 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 27 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 34 | Fouls | 29 |
112.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 4 days' rest.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 21ProjectedBulls 113.4 · Raptors 122.5
Our lineRaptors −9.1
Total235.9
Win probRaptors 82% · Bulls 18%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.