Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Raptors112
Wizards102FinalCapital One ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Raptors | 34 | 26 | 21 | 31 | 112 |
 Wizards | 21 | 31 | 25 | 25 | 102 |
Box score
FinalToronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie BarnesF | 37 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 12-26 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| RJ BarrettF | 34 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Immanuel QuickleyG | 29 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Kawhi LeonardForward | 28 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 7-20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Jakob PoeltlC | 27 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Ja'Kobe WalterG | 24 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Jamal SheadG | 24 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Collin Murray-BoylesF | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Jamison BattleF | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Allen GravesF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Alijah MartinG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden BradleyG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trayce Jackson-DavisF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 112 | 53 | 25 | 44-101 | 7-34 | 17-21 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 31 |
Did not play Kyle Anderson coach's decision
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae YoungG | 37 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 8-10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Anthony DavisF | 32 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Tre JohnsonG | 26 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Bilal CoulibalyG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Kyshawn GeorgeF | 26 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 |
| Alex SarrC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Justin ChampagnieForward | 23 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Khris MiddletonF | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Deandre AytonC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Bub CarringtonG | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Felix OkparaF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony GillF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reece BeekmanGuard | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre MannG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will RileyG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 102 | 40 | 21 | 30-79 | 12-37 | 30-35 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 26 |
Team stats
Final| Raptors | Wizards | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-101 | FG | 30-79 |
| 43.6% | FG% | 38.0% |
| 7-34 | 3PT | 12-37 |
| 20.6% | 3PT% | 32.4% |
| 17-21 | FT | 30-35 |
| 53 | Rebounds | 40 |
| 19 | Off reb | 6 |
| 25 | Assists | 21 |
| 12 | Steals | 10 |
| 6 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 31 | Fouls | 26 |
109.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 23ProjectedRaptors 123.3 · Wizards 111.1
Our lineRaptors −12.2
Total234.4
Win probWizards 12% · Raptors 88%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.