Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Rockets121
Hawks114FinalState Farm ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rockets | 30 | 29 | 33 | 29 | 121 |
 Hawks | 26 | 22 | 33 | 33 | 114 |
Box score
FinalHouston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen ThompsonG | 39 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kevin DurantF | 37 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Alperen SengunC | 33 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 33 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Tari EasonF | 31 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Reed SheppardG | 30 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 20 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Clint CapelaC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bruce ThorntonG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Isaiah CrawfordF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jae'Sean TateF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 121 | 43 | 27 | 43-89 | 14-35 | 21-23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 20 |
Did not play Marcus Smart coach's decision · Oscar Tshiebwe coach's decision · Sean Pedulla coach's decision
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JohnsonF | 38 | 26 | 9 | 16 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 32 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 7-16 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| CJ McCollumG | 30 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 29 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 26 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Luguentz DortG | 23 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jock LandaleC | 19 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Team | — | 114 | 42 | 35 | 43-96 | 13-49 | 15-21 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 21 |
Did not play Asa Newell coach's decision · Corey Kispert coach's decision · Dorian Finney-Smith coach's decision · Zuby Ejiofor coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Rockets | Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-89 | FG | 43-96 |
| 48.3% | FG% | 44.8% |
| 14-35 | 3PT | 13-49 |
| 40.0% | 3PT% | 26.5% |
| 21-23 | FT | 15-21 |
| 43 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 13 | Off reb | 17 |
| 27 | Assists | 35 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
102.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on the back of a back-to-back.
What the model says
Saturday, October 24ProjectedRockets 115.2 · Hawks 113.9
Our lineRockets −1.2
Total229.1
Win probHawks 45% · Rockets 55%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.