New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Pelicans135
Nuggets141Final/OTBall ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pelicans | 38 | 35 | 35 | 18 | 9 | 135 |
 Nuggets | 24 | 33 | 32 | 37 | 15 | 141 |
Box score
FinalNew Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy IIIF | 37 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Dejounte MurrayG | 35 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Zion WilliamsonF | 33 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Derik QueenC | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Saddiq BeyF | 25 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jeremiah FearsG | 23 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jordan PooleG | 23 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Bennedict MathurinG | 20 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| DeAndre JordanC | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Herbert JonesF | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Karlo MatkovicF | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Team | — | 135 | 50 | 33 | 50-99 | 11-38 | 24-30 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 29 |
Did not play AJ Johnson coach's decision · Bryce McGowens coach's decision · Julian Reese coach's decision · Trendon Watford coach's decision
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokicC | 44 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 12-23 | 3-10 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Jamal MurrayG | 43 | 42 | 3 | 6 | 12-25 | 8-16 | 10-13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Christian BraunG | 40 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Aaron GordonF | 37 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Trevon BrazileF | 28 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| DeMar DeRozanG | 24 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Bryce HopkinsF | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Cam WhitmoreF | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyus JonesG | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marvin Bagley IIIF | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 141 | 51 | 26 | 48-99 | 15-47 | 30-39 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 28 |
Did not play DaRon Holmes II coach's decision · Ryan Nembhard coach's decision · Zeke Nnaji coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Pelicans | Nuggets | |
|---|---|---|
| 50-99 | FG | 48-99 |
| 50.5% | FG% | 48.5% |
| 11-38 | 3PT | 15-47 |
| 28.9% | 3PT% | 31.9% |
| 24-30 | FT | 30-39 |
| 50 | Rebounds | 51 |
| 14 | Off reb | 14 |
| 33 | Assists | 26 |
| 9 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 29 | Fouls | 28 |
115.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Pelicans on no rest, Nuggets on 1 day.
What the model says
Saturday, October 24ProjectedPelicans 112.2 · Nuggets 122.6
Our lineNuggets −10.5
Total234.8
Win probNuggets 85% · Pelicans 15%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.