Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Timberwolves125
Cavaliers127Final/OTRocket ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves | 31 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 12 | 125 |
 Cavaliers | 24 | 26 | 36 | 27 | 14 | 127 |
Box score
FinalMinnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony EdwardsGuard | 41 | 47 | 4 | 4 | 19-34 | 5-15 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Jaden McDanielsF | 37 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jonathan KumingaF | 36 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Rudy GobertC | 36 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| LaMelo BallG | 31 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 |
| Ayo DosunmuG | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.G | 24 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Joan BeringerF | 17 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Trey LylesF | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bones HylandG | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 125 | 54 | 25 | 49-102 | 13-40 | 14-23 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 22 |
Did not play Cody Williams coach's decision · Isaiah Evans coach's decision · Jaylen Clark coach's decision · Zyon Pullin coach's decision
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James HardenG | 39 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Donovan MitchellG | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 10-21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Evan MobleyC | 38 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Peyton WatsonG | 37 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Sam MerrillG | 31 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jarrett AllenC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaylon TysonGuard | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Meleek ThomasG | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Mario HezonjaF | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 127 | 50 | 30 | 46-102 | 18-45 | 17-23 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
Did not play Craig Porter Jr. coach's decision · Riley Minix coach's decision · Thomas Bryant coach's decision · Tristan Enaruna coach's decision · Tyrese Proctor coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Timberwolves | Cavaliers | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-102 | FG | 46-102 |
| 48.0% | FG% | 45.1% |
| 13-40 | 3PT | 18-45 |
| 32.5% | 3PT% | 40.0% |
| 14-23 | FT | 17-23 |
| 54 | Rebounds | 50 |
| 17 | Off reb | 13 |
| 25 | Assists | 30 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 7 | Blocks | 9 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 24 |
112.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Timberwolves on no rest, Cavaliers on 1 day.
What the model says
Monday, October 26ProjectedTimberwolves 116.2 · Cavaliers 118.0
Our lineCavaliers −1.8
Total234.1
Win probCavaliers 57% · Timberwolves 43%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.