Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Bulls99
Celtics134FinalTD GardenScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bulls | 21 | 33 | 21 | 24 | 99 |
 Celtics | 33 | 33 | 39 | 29 | 134 |
Box score
FinalChicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilsonF | 32 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Norman PowellG | 24 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Josh GiddeyG | 24 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Matas BuzelisF | 22 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jalen SmithF | 20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Noa EssengueF | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Tre JonesG | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Leonard MillerF | 14 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Buddy HieldG | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tobe AwakaF | 12 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Dailyn SwainG | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Jaylin SellersG | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Isaac OkoroF | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan HawkinsG | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach CollinsF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 99 | 40 | 20 | 33-84 | 12-44 | 21-31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 25 | 28 |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson TatumF | 28 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Paul GeorgeF | 25 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Hugo GonzalezG | 24 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Payton PritchardG | 22 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 10-16 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sam HauserF | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Neemias QuetaC | 19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick WhiteG | 18 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Jordan WalshG | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Baylor ScheiermanG | 18 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Mitchell RobinsonC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Luka GarzaC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Mike ConleyG | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ron Harper Jr.G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Cenac Jr.F | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 134 | 54 | 26 | 46-93 | 21-44 | 21-29 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 25 | 28 |
Team stats
Final| Bulls | Celtics | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-84 | FG | 46-93 |
| 39.3% | FG% | 49.5% |
| 12-44 | 3PT | 21-44 |
| 27.3% | 3PT% | 47.7% |
| 21-31 | FT | 21-29 |
| 40 | Rebounds | 54 |
| 14 | Off reb | 19 |
| 20 | Assists | 26 |
| 12 | Steals | 14 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 25 |
| 28 | Fouls | 28 |
110.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Bulls on 1 day, Celtics on 2 days.
What the model says
Monday, October 26ProjectedBulls 107.1 · Celtics 122.1
Our lineCeltics −15.0
Total229.3
Win probCeltics 92% · Bulls 8%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.