Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hawks110
Rockets120FinalToyota Center (Houston)Scoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks | 35 | 31 | 19 | 25 | 110 |
 Rockets | 32 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 120 |
Box score
FinalAtlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JohnsonF | 36 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| CJ McCollumG | 30 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 29 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 29 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 28 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 27 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Luguentz DortG | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jock LandaleC | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 18 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Corey KispertF | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa NewellF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorian Finney-SmithF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 110 | 35 | 26 | 42-98 | 11-39 | 15-21 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 25 |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 39 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Alperen SengunC | 37 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11-15 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| Tari EasonF | 33 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Kevin DurantF | 30 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Fred VanVleetG | 29 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Amen ThompsonG | 28 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Reed SheppardG | 24 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Clint CapelaC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bruce ThorntonG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah CrawfordF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jae'Sean TateF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 120 | 52 | 31 | 43-81 | 8-27 | 26-32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 22 | 22 |
Did not play Sean Pedulla coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hawks | Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-98 | FG | 43-81 |
| 42.9% | FG% | 53.1% |
| 11-39 | 3PT | 8-27 |
| 28.2% | 3PT% | 29.6% |
| 15-21 | FT | 26-32 |
| 35 | Rebounds | 52 |
| 13 | Off reb | 12 |
| 26 | Assists | 31 |
| 10 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 9 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 22 |
| 25 | Fouls | 22 |
106.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Monday, October 26ProjectedHawks 112.1 · Rockets 117.2
Our lineRockets −5.1
Total229.3
Win probRockets 70% · Hawks 30%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.