Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Magic99
Raptors129FinalScotiabank ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Magic | 25 | 28 | 23 | 23 | 99 |
 Raptors | 32 | 37 | 34 | 26 | 129 |
Box score
FinalOrlando Magic
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz WagnerF | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| Desmond BaneG | 34 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Tristan da SilvaF | 31 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Wendell Carter Jr.C | 26 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Anthony BlackG | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Jevon CarterG | 22 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jamal CainF | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Nikola VucevicC | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jase RichardsonG | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Goga BitadzeC | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Alex MoralesG | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Colin CastletonC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 99 | 34 | 22 | 33-80 | 10-35 | 23-29 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 26 |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ BarrettF | 32 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Scottie BarnesF | 31 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 11-17 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Immanuel QuickleyG | 29 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 5-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ja'Kobe WalterG | 28 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jamal SheadG | 23 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Jamison BattleF | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Trayce Jackson-DavisF | 20 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Allen GravesF | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Collin Murray-BoylesF | 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Jakob PoeltlC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Alijah MartinG | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaden BradleyG | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle AndersonF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 129 | 45 | 33 | 44-88 | 15-35 | 26-31 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 27 |
Team stats
Final| Magic | Raptors | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-80 | FG | 44-88 |
| 41.3% | FG% | 50.0% |
| 10-35 | 3PT | 15-35 |
| 28.6% | 3PT% | 42.9% |
| 23-29 | FT | 26-31 |
| 34 | Rebounds | 45 |
| 9 | Off reb | 8 |
| 22 | Assists | 33 |
| 8 | Steals | 15 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 26 | Fouls | 27 |
106.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 2 days' rest.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 28ProjectedMagic 112.7 · Raptors 117.1
Our lineRaptors −4.3
Total229.8
Win probRaptors 67% · Magic 33%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.