Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Rockets132
Bucks100FinalFiserv ForumScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rockets | 23 | 34 | 38 | 37 | 132 |
 Bucks | 21 | 14 | 34 | 31 | 100 |
Box score
FinalHouston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen ThompsonG | 33 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kevin DurantF | 31 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Tari EasonF | 31 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 30 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Fred VanVleetG | 29 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Reed SheppardG | 23 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Clint CapelaC | 22 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 15 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oscar TshiebweC | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Isaiah CrawfordF | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jae'Sean TateF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruce ThorntonG | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 132 | 44 | 27 | 46-84 | 17-38 | 23-26 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
Did not play Alperen Sengun low back soreness · Marcus Smart left arm · Sean Pedulla coach's decision
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler HerroG | 27 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.F | 27 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| AJ GreenG | 24 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Myles TurnerC | 22 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Nate AmentF | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Kasparas JakucionisG | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Kyle KuzmaF | 18 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Brayden BurriesG | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kel'el WareC | 17 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan RollinsG | 17 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ousmane DiengF | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Gary Trent Jr.G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jericho SimsC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bogoljub MarkovicF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 100 | 41 | 19 | 37-93 | 12-41 | 14-18 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 20 |
Did not play Caris LeVert coach's decision · Kevin Porter Jr. coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Rockets | Bucks | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-84 | FG | 37-93 |
| 54.8% | FG% | 39.8% |
| 17-38 | 3PT | 12-41 |
| 44.7% | 3PT% | 29.3% |
| 23-26 | FT | 14-18 |
| 44 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 8 | Off reb | 15 |
| 27 | Assists | 19 |
| 12 | Steals | 8 |
| 10 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
102.7 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 28ProjectedRockets 115.8 · Bucks 106.1
Our lineRockets −9.7
Total222.0
Win probBucks 17% · Rockets 83%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.