Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Cavaliers111
Hawks114FinalState Farm ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cavaliers | 28 | 16 | 38 | 29 | 111 |
 Hawks | 16 | 30 | 43 | 25 | 114 |
Box score
FinalCleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James HardenG | 36 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Donovan MitchellG | 33 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7-19 | 1-9 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Evan MobleyC | 33 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jarrett AllenC | 30 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sam MerrillG | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Peyton WatsonG | 22 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Tyrese ProctorG | 20 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaylon TysonGuard | 18 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mario HezonjaF | 17 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Craig Porter Jr.G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 111 | 45 | 26 | 38-87 | 13-42 | 22-29 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 |
Did not play Ernest Udeh Jr. coach's decision · Riley Minix coach's decision · Thomas Bryant coach's decision
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JohnsonF | 34 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 11-17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 32 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 31 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 8-17 | 4-12 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| CJ McCollumG | 31 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 24 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Luguentz DortG | 22 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jock LandaleC | 15 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | — | 114 | 53 | 34 | 42-95 | 17-43 | 13-18 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 22 |
Did not play Asa Newell coach's decision · Corey Kispert coach's decision · Dorian Finney-Smith coach's decision · Zuby Ejiofor coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Cavaliers | Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-87 | FG | 42-95 |
| 43.7% | FG% | 44.2% |
| 13-42 | 3PT | 17-43 |
| 31.0% | 3PT% | 39.5% |
| 22-29 | FT | 13-18 |
| 45 | Rebounds | 53 |
| 9 | Off reb | 15 |
| 26 | Assists | 34 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
99.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on the back of a back-to-back.
What the model says
Thursday, October 29ProjectedCavaliers 117.4 · Hawks 118.7
Our lineHawks −1.4
Total236.1
Win probHawks 56% · Cavaliers 44%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.