Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hawks99
Pelicans121FinalSmoothie King CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks | 18 | 30 | 26 | 25 | 99 |
 Pelicans | 35 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 121 |
Box score
FinalAtlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 29 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Luguentz DortG | 29 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Jalen JohnsonF | 28 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 28 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 27 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 25 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| CJ McCollumG | 24 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Asa NewellF | 19 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Corey KispertF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorian Finney-SmithF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jock LandaleC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 99 | 36 | 20 | 35-91 | 8-46 | 21-23 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 21 |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah FearsG | 31 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Zion WilliamsonF | 30 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Trey Murphy IIIF | 29 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Saddiq BeyF | 26 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Herbert JonesF | 25 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Derik QueenC | 23 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Bennedict MathurinG | 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Karlo MatkovicF | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Trendon WatfordF | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Bryce McGowensG | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Julian ReeseF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| AJ JohnsonG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 121 | 49 | 27 | 43-76 | 7-17 | 28-35 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 25 | 21 |
Did not play DeAndre Jordan coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hawks | Pelicans | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-91 | FG | 43-76 |
| 38.5% | FG% | 56.6% |
| 8-46 | 3PT | 7-17 |
| 17.4% | 3PT% | 41.2% |
| 21-23 | FT | 28-35 |
| 36 | Rebounds | 49 |
| 14 | Off reb | 10 |
| 20 | Assists | 27 |
| 11 | Steals | 15 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 25 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
106.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Saturday, October 31ProjectedHawks 121.6 · Pelicans 118.0
Our lineHawks −3.6
Total239.5
Win probPelicans 36% · Hawks 65%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.