Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Thunder98
Rockets119FinalToyota Center (Houston)Scoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Thunder | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 98 |
 Rockets | 35 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 119 |
Box score
FinalOklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG | 31 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Jared McCainG | 28 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Aday MaraC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Bennett StirtzG | 26 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ajay MitchellG | 26 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jaylin WilliamsF | 26 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah HartensteinC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Kenrich WilliamsG | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Micah PeavyG | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh DixG | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brooks BarnhizerF | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 98 | 42 | 20 | 37-85 | 10-32 | 14-15 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 20 |
Did not play Otega Oweh coach's decision
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus SmartG | 36 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 7-10 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 33 | 30 | 9 | 5 | 10-18 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Alperen SengunC | 33 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Amen ThompsonG | 28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kevin DurantF | 27 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah CrawfordF | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tari EasonF | 19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Clint CapelaC | 10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bruce ThorntonG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jae'Sean TateF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oscar TshiebweC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 119 | 44 | 29 | 41-90 | 18-41 | 19-23 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
Did not play Fred VanVleet right knee injury management · Reed Sheppard lower back soreness · Sean Pedulla coach's decision · Steven Adams right leg
Team stats
Final| Thunder | Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-85 | FG | 41-90 |
| 43.5% | FG% | 45.6% |
| 10-32 | 3PT | 18-41 |
| 31.3% | 3PT% | 43.9% |
| 14-15 | FT | 19-23 |
| 42 | Rebounds | 44 |
| 10 | Off reb | 13 |
| 20 | Assists | 29 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
96.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Thunder on 2 days, Rockets on no rest.
What the model says
Saturday, October 31ProjectedThunder 113.1 · Rockets 110.8
Our lineThunder −2.3
Total223.9
Win probRockets 41% · Thunder 59%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.