Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Thunder117
Cavaliers112FinalRocket ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Thunder | 26 | 33 | 31 | 27 | 117 |
 Cavaliers | 30 | 18 | 36 | 28 | 112 |
Box score
FinalOklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG | 39 | 43 | 3 | 8 | 14-35 | 4-8 | 11-12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Ajay MitchellG | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kenrich WilliamsG | 31 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaiah HartensteinC | 28 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jared McCainG | 27 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Aday MaraC | 20 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Jaylin WilliamsF | 20 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Micah PeavyG | 16 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Bennett StirtzG | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Josh DixG | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 117 | 54 | 18 | 42-98 | 12-31 | 21-23 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
Did not play Brooks Barnhizer coach's decision
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan MitchellG | 36 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Evan MobleyC | 33 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| James HardenG | 33 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jarrett AllenC | 28 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Mario HezonjaF | 27 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Meleek ThomasG | 26 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sam MerrillG | 26 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyrese ProctorG | 19 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Craig Porter Jr.G | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Thomas BryantC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 112 | 46 | 31 | 40-90 | 18-49 | 14-24 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19 |
Did not play Riley Minix coach's decision · Tristan Enaruna coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Thunder | Cavaliers | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-98 | FG | 40-90 |
| 42.9% | FG% | 44.4% |
| 12-31 | 3PT | 18-49 |
| 38.7% | 3PT% | 36.7% |
| 21-23 | FT | 14-24 |
| 54 | Rebounds | 46 |
| 15 | Off reb | 11 |
| 18 | Assists | 31 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
99.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedThunder 117.3 · Cavaliers 113.0
Our lineThunder −4.3
Total230.4
Win probCavaliers 33% · Thunder 67%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.