Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Celtics93
Rockets109FinalToyota Center (Houston)Scoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Celtics | 29 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 93 |
 Rockets | 29 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 109 |
Box score
FinalBoston Celtics
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson TatumF | 32 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| Derrick WhiteG | 30 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Payton PritchardG | 30 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Baylor ScheiermanG | 27 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Neemias QuetaC | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sam HauserF | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Luka GarzaC | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Hugo GonzalezG | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mitchell RobinsonC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Jordan WalshG | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ron Harper Jr.G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike ConleyG | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Chris Cenac Jr.F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dillon MitchellF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 93 | 38 | 20 | 32-83 | 12-42 | 17-20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen SengunC | 38 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 12-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 36 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin DurantF | 33 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Tari EasonF | 27 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Fred VanVleetG | 27 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Amen ThompsonG | 25 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Marcus SmartG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Reed SheppardG | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oscar TshiebweC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruce ThorntonG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah CrawfordF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jae'Sean TateF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 109 | 36 | 34 | 43-79 | 14-35 | 9-13 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 22 |
Did not play Clint Capela right ankle sprain · Steven Adams right soleus strain
Team stats
Final| Celtics | Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-83 | FG | 43-79 |
| 38.6% | FG% | 54.4% |
| 12-42 | 3PT | 14-35 |
| 28.6% | 3PT% | 40.0% |
| 17-20 | FT | 9-13 |
| 38 | Rebounds | 36 |
| 13 | Off reb | 9 |
| 20 | Assists | 34 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
92.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Celtics on no rest, Rockets on 1 day.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedCeltics 109.2 · Rockets 107.6
Our lineCeltics −1.6
Total216.7
Win probRockets 44% · Celtics 56%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.