Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Heat117
Lakers138Finalcrypto.com ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heat | 30 | 42 | 21 | 24 | 117 |
 Lakers | 37 | 42 | 32 | 27 | 138 |
Box score
FinalMiami Heat
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis AntetokounmpoF | 34 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 10-17 | 0-3 | 10-15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Bam AdebayoC | 31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 30 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Davion MitchellG | 29 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Klay ThompsonG | 27 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Andrew WigginsF | 24 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.G | 19 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Bobby PortisF | 18 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Dru SmithG | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan ConwellG | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nikola JovicF | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Myron GardnerF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick RichardsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 117 | 34 | 28 | 38-75 | 16-41 | 25-35 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 23 |
Did not play Simone Fontecchio coach's decision
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DoncicG | 36 | 42 | 7 | 13 | 14-24 | 6-15 | 8-10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Austin ReavesG | 34 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 10-15 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Walker KesslerC | 32 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 28 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Jake LaRaviaF | 26 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Quentin GrimesG | 23 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Matisse ThybulleG | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Collin SextonG | 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ziaire WilliamsF | 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jarred VanderbiltF | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bronny JamesG | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaden HardyG | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron CarrG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lawson LoveringC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 138 | 41 | 39 | 51-89 | 19-43 | 17-24 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 28 |
Did not play Kevon Looney coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Heat | Lakers | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-75 | FG | 51-89 |
| 50.7% | FG% | 57.3% |
| 16-41 | 3PT | 19-43 |
| 39.0% | 3PT% | 44.2% |
| 25-35 | FT | 17-24 |
| 34 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 7 | Off reb | 10 |
| 28 | Assists | 39 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 23 | Fouls | 28 |
104.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Heat on 2 days, Lakers on no rest.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedHeat 117.5 · Lakers 118.9
Our lineLakers −1.4
Total236.4
Win probLakers 56% · Heat 44%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.