Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Hawks120
Wizards105FinalCapital One ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks | 37 | 31 | 25 | 27 | 120 |
 Wizards | 32 | 29 | 24 | 20 | 105 |
Box score
FinalAtlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson DanielsG | 33 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 32 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 9-20 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 30 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Luguentz DortG | 30 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Aaron WigginsG | 29 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| CJ McCollumG | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kingston FlemingsG | 23 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Zuby EjioforF | 17 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Asa NewellF | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Corey KispertF | 8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 120 | 57 | 34 | 45-101 | 19-49 | 11-14 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
Did not play Dorian Finney-Smith coach's decision · Jalen Johnson coach's decision · Jock Landale coach's decision
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn GeorgeF | 35 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 10-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Trae YoungG | 34 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| AJ DybantsaF | 32 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Anthony DavisF | 30 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 12-19 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex SarrC | 23 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bilal CoulibalyG | 23 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Bub CarringtonG | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre JohnsonG | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Will RileyG | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Deandre AytonC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Tre MannG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Felix OkparaF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 105 | 41 | 25 | 42-88 | 6-26 | 15-21 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 15 |
Did not play Anthony Gill coach's decision · Khris Middleton coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Hawks | Wizards | |
|---|---|---|
| 45-101 | FG | 42-88 |
| 44.6% | FG% | 47.7% |
| 19-49 | 3PT | 6-26 |
| 38.8% | 3PT% | 23.1% |
| 11-14 | FT | 15-21 |
| 57 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 19 | Off reb | 9 |
| 34 | Assists | 25 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 9 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
101.7 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedHawks 124.6 · Wizards 114.5
Our lineHawks −10.1
Total239.1
Win probWizards 16% · Hawks 84%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.