Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Bucks102
Celtics109FinalTD GardenScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bucks | 14 | 27 | 38 | 23 | 102 |
 Celtics | 28 | 34 | 25 | 22 | 109 |
Box score
FinalMilwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles TurnerC | 36 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Tyler HerroG | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.F | 31 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kyle KuzmaF | 27 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Ryan RollinsG | 24 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Brayden BurriesG | 22 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| AJ GreenG | 20 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Nate AmentF | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kel'el WareC | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Kasparas JakucionisG | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ousmane DiengF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jericho SimsC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 102 | 45 | 28 | 35-85 | 19-47 | 13-19 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 22 |
Did not play Bogoljub Markovic coach's decision · Caris LeVert coach's decision · Gary Trent Jr. coach's decision
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick WhiteG | 36 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 9-9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Paul GeorgeF | 35 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 8-18 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| Sam HauserF | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Baylor ScheiermanG | 29 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Neemias QuetaC | 29 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Mitchell RobinsonC | 20 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Luka GarzaC | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Payton PritchardG | 18 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Hugo GonzalezG | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan WalshG | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 109 | 54 | 24 | 37-91 | 16-39 | 19-25 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 19 |
Did not play Chris Cenac Jr. coach's decision · Dillon Mitchell coach's decision · Mike Conley coach's decision · Ron Harper Jr. coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Bucks | Celtics | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-85 | FG | 37-91 |
| 41.2% | FG% | 40.7% |
| 19-47 | 3PT | 16-39 |
| 40.4% | 3PT% | 41.0% |
| 13-19 | FT | 19-25 |
| 45 | Rebounds | 54 |
| 11 | Off reb | 19 |
| 28 | Assists | 24 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
96.2 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedBucks 100.6 · Celtics 118.3
Our lineCeltics −17.7
Total218.9
Win probCeltics 95% · Bucks 5%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.