Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Jazz113
Pelicans120Final/OTSmoothie King CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jazz | 24 | 13 | 43 | 24 | 9 | 113 |
 Pelicans | 24 | 18 | 28 | 34 | 16 | 120 |
Box score
FinalUtah Jazz
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte GeorgeG | 44 | 39 | 2 | 9 | 14-26 | 2-9 | 9-13 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Lauri MarkkanenF | 39 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 6-15 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Ace BaileyG | 35 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-14 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| Darryn PetersonG | 30 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Josh OkogieG | 26 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Josh GreenG | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaxson HayesC | 21 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| Svi MykhailiukG | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Mo BambaC | 15 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Brice SensabaughF | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaiah CollierG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 113 | 49 | 24 | 41-94 | 11-47 | 20-30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 33 |
Did not play Kobe Bufkin coach's decision · Kyle Filipowski coach's decision · Tony Bradley coach's decision
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte MurrayG | 45 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 11-11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Zion WilliamsonF | 38 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Herbert JonesF | 37 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jeremiah FearsG | 34 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Saddiq BeyF | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Derik QueenC | 27 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Karlo MatkovicF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Trendon WatfordF | 20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Bennedict MathurinG | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 120 | 48 | 23 | 38-89 | 5-20 | 39-43 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 26 |
Did not play AJ Johnson coach's decision · Bryce McGowens coach's decision · DeAndre Jordan coach's decision · Jordan Poole coach's decision · Julian Reese coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Jazz | Pelicans | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-94 | FG | 38-89 |
| 43.6% | FG% | 42.7% |
| 11-47 | 3PT | 5-20 |
| 23.4% | 3PT% | 25.0% |
| 20-30 | FT | 39-43 |
| 49 | Rebounds | 48 |
| 15 | Off reb | 13 |
| 24 | Assists | 23 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 7 | Blocks | 6 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 33 | Fouls | 26 |
114.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedJazz 117.9 · Pelicans 125.7
Our linePelicans −7.8
Total243.6
Win probPelicans 78% · Jazz 22%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.