Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Timberwolves117
Rockets107FinalToyota Center (Houston)Scoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves | 33 | 24 | 25 | 35 | 117 |
 Rockets | 30 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 107 |
Box score
FinalMinnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDanielsF | 37 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 7-14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Ayo DosunmuG | 34 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 10-20 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Rudy GobertC | 33 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Jonathan KumingaF | 32 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| LaMelo BallG | 31 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| Jaylen ClarkG | 25 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Trey LylesF | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Bones HylandG | 16 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Joan BeringerF | 13 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | — | 117 | 45 | 28 | 46-87 | 15-35 | 10-19 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 25 |
Did not play Cody Williams coach's decision · Isaiah Evans coach's decision · Rocco Zikarsky coach's decision · Zyon Pullin coach's decision
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen SengunC | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Kevin DurantF | 35 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr.F | 35 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Amen ThompsonG | 32 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Fred VanVleetG | 30 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Tari EasonF | 24 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reed SheppardG | 21 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Marcus SmartG | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Bogdan BogdanovicG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oscar TshiebweC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 107 | 41 | 22 | 35-82 | 13-37 | 24-30 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 20 |
Did not play Bruce Thornton coach's decision · Clint Capela right ankle sprain · Isaiah Crawford coach's decision · Jae'Sean Tate coach's decision · Steven Adams right soleus strain
Team stats
Final| Timberwolves | Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-87 | FG | 35-82 |
| 52.9% | FG% | 42.7% |
| 15-35 | 3PT | 13-37 |
| 42.9% | 3PT% | 35.1% |
| 10-19 | FT | 24-30 |
| 45 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 15 | Off reb | 14 |
| 28 | Assists | 22 |
| 12 | Steals | 6 |
| 8 | Blocks | 8 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 22 |
| 25 | Fouls | 20 |
100.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedTimberwolves 111.6 · Rockets 116.0
Our lineRockets −4.4
Total227.7
Win probRockets 67% · Timberwolves 33%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.