Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Raptors109
Nuggets128FinalBall ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Raptors | 35 | 32 | 15 | 27 | 109 |
 Nuggets | 33 | 31 | 41 | 23 | 128 |
Box score
FinalToronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ BarrettF | 33 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Scottie BarnesF | 32 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Immanuel QuickleyG | 32 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ja'Kobe WalterG | 27 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Collin Murray-BoylesF | 23 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Jamal SheadG | 20 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Jamison BattleF | 19 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jakob PoeltlC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Allen GravesF | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Alijah MartinG | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Jaden BradleyG | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle AndersonF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Trayce Jackson-DavisF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 109 | 28 | 29 | 41-84 | 12-34 | 15-22 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 22 |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokicC | 30 | 32 | 10 | 11 | 13-19 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Cameron JohnsonF | 30 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jamal MurrayG | 28 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Christian BraunG | 28 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bryce HopkinsF | 27 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron GordonF | 25 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Trevon BrazileF | 23 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tyus JonesG | 18 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Marvin Bagley IIIF | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan NembhardG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Zeke NnajiF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Alpha DialloF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| DaRon Holmes IIF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 128 | 36 | 35 | 48-78 | 9-23 | 23-27 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 19 |
Did not play Cam Whitmore coach's decision · DeMar DeRozan coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Raptors | Nuggets | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-84 | FG | 48-78 |
| 48.8% | FG% | 61.5% |
| 12-34 | 3PT | 9-23 |
| 35.3% | 3PT% | 39.1% |
| 15-22 | FT | 23-27 |
| 28 | Rebounds | 36 |
| 10 | Off reb | 7 |
| 29 | Assists | 35 |
| 10 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
98.8 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedRaptors 113.6 · Nuggets 115.7
Our lineNuggets −2.1
Total229.3
Win probNuggets 58% · Raptors 42%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.