Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Lakers116
Kings103FinalGolden 1 CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lakers | 28 | 33 | 26 | 29 | 116 |
 Kings | 28 | 26 | 20 | 29 | 103 |
Box score
FinalLos Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin ReavesG | 37 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka DoncicG | 35 | 40 | 9 | 7 | 11-23 | 6-13 | 12-13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Walker KesslerC | 29 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Quentin GrimesG | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ziaire WilliamsF | 23 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Matisse ThybulleG | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake LaRaviaF | 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 19 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Collin SextonG | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Jarred VanderbiltF | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Bronny JamesG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron CarrG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden HardyG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lawson LoveringC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevon LooneyF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 116 | 38 | 20 | 35-78 | 12-38 | 34-38 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 23 |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr.G | 42 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 8-24 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| De'Andre HunterF | 38 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Zach LaVineG | 35 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Domantas SabonisF | 35 | 16 | 17 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Malik MonkG | 24 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Leaky BlackF | 22 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Precious AchiuwaF | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Dylan CardwellC | 13 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Emanuel SharpG | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Nique CliffordG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 103 | 46 | 23 | 35-90 | 12-38 | 21-28 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 24 |
Did not play Alex Karaban coach's decision · Jonathan Mogbo coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Lakers | Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-78 | FG | 35-90 |
| 44.9% | FG% | 38.9% |
| 12-38 | 3PT | 12-38 |
| 31.6% | 3PT% | 31.6% |
| 34-38 | FT | 21-28 |
| 38 | Rebounds | 46 |
| 10 | Off reb | 15 |
| 20 | Assists | 23 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 13 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
101.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedLakers 119.0 · Kings 108.9
Our lineLakers −10.1
Total227.9
Win probKings 16% · Lakers 84%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.