Miami Heat vs LA Clippers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Heat117
Clippers116Final/OTIntuit DomeScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heat | 33 | 19 | 26 | 29 | 10 | 117 |
 Clippers | 24 | 43 | 20 | 20 | 9 | 116 |
Box score
FinalMiami Heat
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion MitchellG | 43 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Bam AdebayoC | 41 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 14-20 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Giannis AntetokounmpoF | 41 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 8-20 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Klay ThompsonG | 35 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 11-22 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 35 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew WigginsF | 23 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Bobby PortisF | 18 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ryan ConwellG | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 117 | 50 | 35 | 43-100 | 10-40 | 21-26 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
Did not play Dru Smith coach's decision · Myron Gardner coach's decision · Nick Richards coach's decision · Nikola Jovic coach's decision
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius GarlandG | 39 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 10-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| Rui HachimuraF | 37 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Derrick Jones Jr.F | 37 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Brook LopezC | 35 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Kris DunnG | 35 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Max StrusG | 23 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Kobe SandersG | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Keaton WaglerG | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah JacksonF | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Gradey DickG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Baba MillerF | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 116 | 47 | 30 | 43-90 | 16-43 | 14-20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 26 |
Did not play Blake Wesley coach's decision · Cam Christie coach's decision · Jalen Pickett coach's decision · Nick Martinelli coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Heat | Clippers | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-100 | FG | 43-90 |
| 43.0% | FG% | 47.8% |
| 10-40 | 3PT | 16-43 |
| 25.0% | 3PT% | 37.2% |
| 21-26 | FT | 14-20 |
| 50 | Rebounds | 47 |
| 12 | Off reb | 6 |
| 35 | Assists | 30 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 18 | Fouls | 26 |
112.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedHeat 116.7 · Clippers 117.8
Our lineClippers −1.0
Total234.5
Win probClippers 54% · Heat 46%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.