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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Tipoff, where to watch, and the model's read before the ball goes up.

Heat–

Warriors–10:00 PM EST · Thursday, November 5Chase Center📺 NBA TV

The line score and both box scores land at tipoff.

What the model says

Thursday, November 5

ProjectedHeat 119.6 · Warriors 119.9

Our lineWarriors −0.3

Total239.4

Win probWarriors 51% · Heat 49%

These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.