Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Timberwolves116
Bucks97FinalFiserv ForumScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves | 31 | 29 | 21 | 35 | 116 |
 Bucks | 20 | 28 | 28 | 21 | 97 |
Box score
FinalMinnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony EdwardsGuard | 18 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| LaMelo BallG | 17 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rudy GobertC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Zyon PullinG | 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Joan BeringerF | 15 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Jaden McDanielsF | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan KumingaF | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ayo DosunmuG | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio ReevesG | 12 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey LylesF | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cody WilliamsF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaylen ClarkG | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| KJ MartinF | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Norchad OmierF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Bones HylandG | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Isaiah EvansF | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Rocco ZikarskyC | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Enrique FreemanForward | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Drew TimmeForward | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 116 | 51 | 22 | 40-87 | 9-35 | 27-34 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 23 |
Did not play Donte DiVincenzo coach's decision
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kel'el WareC | 24 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| AJ GreenG | 22 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Kyle KuzmaF | 20 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tyler HerroG | 19 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Kevin Porter Jr.G | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Myles TurnerC | 19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jericho SimsC | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Gary Trent Jr.G | 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.F | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Brayden BurriesG | 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Ryan RollinsG | 14 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Nate AmentF | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Caris LeVertG | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Pete NanceForward | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 97 | 47 | 19 | 30-91 | 16-47 | 21-28 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 28 |
Did not play Bogoljub Markovic coach's decision · Cormac Ryan coach's decision · Jake Stephens coach's decision · John Butler Jr. coach's decision · Kam Jones coach's decision · Kasparas Jakucionis coach's decision · Ousmane Dieng coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Timberwolves | Bucks | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-87 | FG | 30-91 |
| 46.0% | FG% | 33.0% |
| 9-35 | 3PT | 16-47 |
| 25.7% | 3PT% | 34.0% |
| 27-34 | FT | 21-28 |
| 51 | Rebounds | 47 |
| 9 | Off reb | 14 |
| 22 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 23 | Fouls | 28 |
106.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, October 5ProjectedTimberwolves 116.8 · Bucks 113.3
Our lineTimberwolves −3.5
Total230.2
Win probBucks 36% · Timberwolves 64%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.