Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Timberwolves122
Knicks104FinalMadison Square GardenScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves | 30 | 32 | 28 | 32 | 122 |
 Knicks | 25 | 25 | 30 | 24 | 104 |
Box score
FinalMinnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony EdwardsGuard | 25 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Jaden McDanielsF | 24 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| LaMelo BallG | 22 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Rudy GobertC | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ayo DosunmuG | 20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Trey LylesF | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Cody WilliamsF | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Bones HylandG | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Joan BeringerF | 14 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Zyon PullinG | 12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KJ MartinF | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah EvansF | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Antonio ReevesG | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen ClarkG | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drew TimmeForward | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Norchad OmierF | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 122 | 39 | 26 | 42-78 | 18-34 | 20-30 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 24 |
Did not play Donte DiVincenzo coach's decision · Enrique Freeman coach's decision · Jonathan Kuminga coach's decision · Rocco Zikarsky coach's decision · Terrence Shannon Jr. coach's decision
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen BrunsonG | 22 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| OG AnunobyF | 22 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Karl-Anthony TownsC | 22 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Mikal BridgesG | 22 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Josh HartG | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose AlvaradoG | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Pacome DadietF | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Miles McBrideG | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Mohamed DiawaraF | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Andre DrummondC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Tyler KolekG | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Landry ShametG | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jordan ClarksonG | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Ochai AgbajiGuard | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony BradleyC | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Drew EubanksF | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kevin McCullar Jr.G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 104 | 28 | 24 | 35-77 | 8-32 | 26-29 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 24 |
Did not play Bruce Brown coach's decision · Jaden Akins coach's decision · James Wiseman coach's decision · Tyler Nickel coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Timberwolves | Knicks | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-78 | FG | 35-77 |
| 53.8% | FG% | 45.5% |
| 18-34 | 3PT | 8-32 |
| 52.9% | 3PT% | 25.0% |
| 20-30 | FT | 26-29 |
| 39 | Rebounds | 28 |
| 13 | Off reb | 9 |
| 26 | Assists | 24 |
| 11 | Steals | 12 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 24 | Fouls | 24 |
99.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Timberwolves on 1 day, Knicks on 3 days.
What the model says
Monday, October 12ProjectedTimberwolves 116.9 · Knicks 118.5
Our lineKnicks −1.6
Total235.4
Win probKnicks 56% · Timberwolves 44%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.