Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Pistons128
Timberwolves106FinalTarget CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pistons | 29 | 36 | 32 | 31 | 128 |
 Timberwolves | 38 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 106 |
Box score
FinalDetroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade CunninghamG | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Duncan RobinsonF | 24 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Ausar ThompsonG | 21 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaiah JoeGuard | 20 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| John CollinsF | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kevin HuerterG | 17 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Paul ReedF | 16 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Daniss JenkinsG | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jalen DurenCenter | 15 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Ronald Holland IIF | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Tolu SmithF | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Ebuka OkorieG | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| John UkomaduF | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Isaac JonesC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Elijah HarklessGuard | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ugonna OnyensoCenter | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Javonte GreenG | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 128 | 45 | 33 | 45-79 | 11-25 | 27-33 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 29 |
Did not play Brice Williams coach's decision · Chaz Lanier coach's decision · Taurean Prince coach's decision
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony EdwardsGuard | 28 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Ayo DosunmuG | 24 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Jaden McDanielsF | 23 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Jonathan KumingaF | 22 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Rudy GobertC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Joan BeringerF | 18 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| LaMelo BallG | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Trey LylesF | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Bones HylandG | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jaylen ClarkG | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cody WilliamsF | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Zyon PullinG | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KJ MartinF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Norchad OmierF | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Team | — | 106 | 34 | 23 | 29-76 | 11-34 | 37-44 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 29 |
Did not play Antonio Reeves coach's decision · Donte DiVincenzo coach's decision · Drew Timme coach's decision · Enrique Freeman coach's decision · Isaiah Evans coach's decision · Rocco Zikarsky coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Pistons | Timberwolves | |
|---|---|---|
| 45-79 | FG | 29-76 |
| 57.0% | FG% | 38.2% |
| 11-25 | 3PT | 11-34 |
| 44.0% | 3PT% | 32.4% |
| 27-33 | FT | 37-44 |
| 45 | Rebounds | 34 |
| 10 | Off reb | 11 |
| 33 | Assists | 23 |
| 11 | Steals | 11 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 29 | Fouls | 29 |
103.9 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Pistons on 3 days, Timberwolves on 1 day.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 14ProjectedPistons 115.6 · Timberwolves 119.3
Our lineTimberwolves −3.7
Total234.9
Win probTimberwolves 65% · Pistons 35%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.