Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Jazz109
Nuggets97FinalCU Events CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jazz | 36 | 27 | 25 | 21 | 109 |
 Nuggets | 26 | 26 | 25 | 20 | 97 |
Box score
FinalUtah Jazz
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte GeorgeG | 21 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Ace BaileyG | 20 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Darryn PetersonG | 19 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Jaxson HayesC | 19 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.Forward | 18 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Blake HinsonF | 17 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Svi MykhailiukG | 17 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah CollierG | 15 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tamar BatesG | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Lauri MarkkanenF | 14 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh OkogieG | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Harrison IngramForward | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Mo BambaC | 12 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey AlexanderGuard | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jusuf NurkicCenter | 11 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jonas AidooC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 109 | 54 | 28 | 39-93 | 15-45 | 16-20 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 25 |
Did not play Brice Sensabaugh coach's decision · Josh Green coach's decision · Kyle Filipowski coach's decision · Terrell Brown Jr. coach's decision
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian StrawtherGuard | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Trevon BrazileF | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Tyus JonesG | 19 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Ryan NembhardG | 17 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Cameron JohnsonF | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Cam WhitmoreF | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Christian BraunG | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikola JokicC | 15 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Zeke NnajiF | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Marvin Bagley IIIF | 14 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Alpha DialloF | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| DaRon Holmes IIF | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryce HopkinsF | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron GordonF | 10 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| DeMar DeRozanG | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lonnie Walker IVG | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Emanuel MillerF | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Coleman HawkinsF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dane GoodwinG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 97 | 47 | 27 | 36-89 | 11-39 | 14-21 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
Did not play Jamal Murray coach's decision · Spencer Jones coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Jazz | Nuggets | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-93 | FG | 36-89 |
| 41.9% | FG% | 40.4% |
| 15-45 | 3PT | 11-39 |
| 33.3% | 3PT% | 28.2% |
| 16-20 | FT | 14-21 |
| 54 | Rebounds | 47 |
| 14 | Off reb | 12 |
| 28 | Assists | 27 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 8 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 25 | Fouls | 23 |
98.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Sunday, October 4ProjectedJazz 117.8 · Nuggets 122.9
Our lineNuggets −5.1
Total240.7
Win probNuggets 70% · Jazz 30%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.