MatchWiz

Moneyline board

Win probability and fair odds, as we published them for this night.

Archive These are the numbers we published for that night, not a re-run. The book's line beside each one is where that market closed.

Preseason All 12 games on this slate are exhibitions. The ratings behind these numbers are last season's, and starters play short minutes — so the board runs wider than the market here. Where we disagree, that's the model catching up, not an edge.

MatchupWin %WizLineMarketWizEdge
Final120.5 – 120.4proj
Heat11550.4%−102WizLine+228market+21.2%
Magic13649.6%+102WizLine−285market−21.2%
Final114.6 – 107.5proj
Celtics12576.5%−326WizLine+192market+43.7%
76ers12023.5%+326WizLine−235market−43.7%
Final110.8 – 117.2proj
Raptors12525.7%+289WizLine+340market+3.9%
Pistons12974.3%−289WizLine−440market−3.9%
Final114.8 – 115.6proj
Bucks12846.7%+114WizLine+240market+18.5%
Pacers12753.3%−114WizLine−298market−18.5%
Final122.6 – 118.2proj
Hawks13567.6%−209WizLine−105market+18.7%
Mavericks11132.4%+209WizLine−115market−18.7%
Final105.7 – 125.5proj
Kings973.7%+2603WizLine+550market−11.1%
Spurs12696.3%−2603WizLine−800market+11.1%
Final119.2 – 112.0proj
Hornets9876.6%−327WizLine+116market+32.4%
Grizzlies11623.4%+327WizLine−140market−32.4%
Final115.2 – 124.5proj
Wizards10617.8%+462WizLine−120market−34.4%
Pelicans10782.2%−462WizLine+100market+34.4%
Final122.6 – 117.8proj
Timberwolves11668.5%−217WizLine+150market+30.1%
Bulls13331.5%+217WizLine−180market−30.1%
Final115.6 – 117.4proj
Trail Blazers11842.7%+134WizLine−155market−15.6%
Warriors12857.3%−134WizLine+130market+15.6%
Final112.2 – 122.3proj
Jazz11916.0%+525WizLine+156market−21.3%
Suns11684.0%−525WizLine−190market+21.3%
Final114.6 – 113.2proj
Nuggets12155.4%−124WizLine+130market+21.8%at +185
Lakers10644.6%+124WizLine−155market−21.8%at −225

12 of 12 games priced, 12 with a book number (median of the books quoting it). Cards read away over home, the way the game is written. WizEdge is our probability at the book's own number minus theirs, both with the vig divided out, in percentage points. Gold is the side we're on — a disagreement, not a price you can bet. Projections, not picks.

Tonight's moneyline board · Scores for this night · Standings